← UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
Ty Miller vs Adam Fugitt
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01-24
Ty MillerLow Data
vs Adam Fugitt
52.2%
Model
74.9%
Market
1.29
Odds
-22.6
Edge (pp)
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
Style Matchup
limited sample · 5 UFC fightslimited · 5 fights
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P60
Volume
P74
Striking Efficiency
P65
Range Sniper
P43
Kickboxing
P85
Clinch Striking
P18
Defensive Striking
P33
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P59
Pressure Wrestling
P43
Top Control
P58
Submission
P28
Anti-Wrestling
P45
Grappling Defense
P29
Scrambler
P26
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P13
Finisher
P63
Damage Resistance
P8
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P14
Pace
P77
Late Fighter
P44
GLOBAL
Versatility
P44
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
MillerFugitt
—Landed / min4.59
—Absorbed / min4.54
—Accuracy46%
—Defense51%
—KD / 150.00
—KD abs / 151.47
Grappling / Wrestling
MillerFugitt
—TD / 151.83
—TD att / 157.33
—TD accuracy25%
—TD defense50%
—Control / 152:08
—Sub att / 150.00
Targets
MillerFugitt
Head—|45%
Body—|38%
Leg—|17%
Position
MillerFugitt
Distance—|91%
Clinch—|6%
Ground—|3%
Ranking evolution Miller Fugitt
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Ty Miller
Ty Miller arrives on a six-fight win streak with a 27-13 overall record, a heavily tested résumé across regional competition. He hasn't tasted a stoppage loss recently, and he carries a real finishing threat once the fight hits the mat, where his submission game becomes a factor.
Adam Fugitt
Adam Fugitt sits at 2-3 in the UFC, 10-5 overall, with two wins in his last 5 UFC appearances. A southpaw at welterweight, he last competed 6.2 months ago against regional-level opposition, a normal turnaround for the division.
Matchup Read
Miller's submission threat on the ground meets a question mark, since no counter to it is established for Fugitt here. If Miller can drag exchanges to the mat, his finishing game becomes the central danger. Standing, the orthodox-southpaw pairing reshuffles the usual angles for both. Miller's broader body of tested fights and clean recent durability give him more to lean on, though the ground is where his sharpest tool lives.
What to Watch
- Grappling: watch whether Miller can close distance and get Fugitt to the mat, where his submission threat activates
- Early striking: the orthodox-southpaw matchup changes lead-hand and angle exchanges for both men from the opening minute
- Ground scrambles: track how Fugitt responds when the fight hits the canvas and Miller starts hunting finishes
Key Uncertainty
Miller is making his UFC debut with no promotional history, so how his regional form and finishing threat translate against this level of opposition is untested.