← UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
Pat Sabatini vs William Gomis
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05-09
53.2%
Model
62.5%
Market
1.54
Odds
-9.4
Edge (pp)
established · 10 UFC fightsestablished · 10 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P18
Striking Initiative
P45
P1
Volume
P51
P12
Striking Efficiency
P71
P1
Range Sniper
P41
P1
Kickboxing
P92
P57
Clinch Striking
P81
P15
Defensive Striking
P93
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P99
Wrestling
P32
P100
Pressure Wrestling
P23
P100
Top Control
P36
P93
Submission
P23
P81
Anti-Wrestling
P35
P38
Grappling Defense
P46
P93
Scrambler
P52
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P16
Power
P14
P53
Finisher
P8
P28
Damage Resistance
P79
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P96
Fast Starter
P7
P86
Pace
P28
P11
Late Fighter
P68
GLOBAL
P37
Versatility
P59
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
SabatiniGomis
1.69Landed / min3.48
1.09Absorbed / min2.76
60%Accuracy50%
51%Defense61%
0.17KD / 150.00
0.17KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
SabatiniGomis
4.48TD / 150.86
8.79TD att / 152.23
51%TD accuracy38%
50%TD defense72%
10:33Control / 152:39
1.49Sub att / 150.34
Targets
SabatiniGomis
Head78%|41%
Body16%|28%
Leg5%|31%
Position
SabatiniGomis
Distance33%|85%
Clinch9%|14%
Ground58%|1%
Ranking evolution Sabatini Gomis
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Pat Sabatini
Pat Sabatini's game runs through his grappling: strong top control once he puts opponents on the mat, with a real finishing threat from there. His submission attacks have been showing up recently, and both his ground control and defense have been trending upward. He rides a 3-fight win streak.
William Gomis
William Gomis carries a deep gas tank built to hold up over the distance, paired with a slight edge in striking volume and pressure. At 8 cm of reach on Sabatini, he has the frame to work behind length. He enters on a modest run.
Matchup Read
Sabatini's push to get this to the mat meets Gomis's longer, higher-output striking. If Sabatini closes the gap and lands takedowns, his top control and submission threat decide things. If Gomis uses his reach and southpaw angles to keep it standing, his volume and cardio grow in value as the three rounds wear on. The reach gap shapes whether Sabatini can even enter on his shots cleanly.
What to Watch
- Entries: whether Sabatini can close the 8 cm reach gap and get his level changes to land against the fence.
- Scrambles: once it hits the mat, how long Gomis stays underneath versus working back to his feet.
- Late rounds: whether Gomis's output and cardio keep the fight standing deeper into the third.