← UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Adrian Yanez vs Cody Garbrandt
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07-11
62.2%
Model
77.1%
Market
1.25
Odds
-14.9
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
established · 17 UFC fightsestablished · 17 fights
STRIKING
P95
Striking Initiative
P13
P99
Volume
P29
P65
Striking Efficiency
P22
P94
Range Sniper
P68
P78
Kickboxing
P40
P1
Clinch Striking
P67
P54
Defensive Striking
P83
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P3
Wrestling
P24
P3
Pressure Wrestling
P51
P8
Top Control
P28
P14
Submission
P2
P41
Anti-Wrestling
P95
P88
Grappling Defense
P92
P7
Scrambler
P39
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P95
Power
P96
P63
Finisher
P60
P26
Damage Resistance
P10
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P52
Fast Starter
P23
P26
Pace
P8
P35
Late Fighter
P43
GLOBAL
P9
Versatility
P28
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
YanezGarbrandt
6.19Landed / min2.79
5.76Absorbed / min3.66
41%Accuracy40%
55%Defense59%
1.34KD / 150.94
0.67KD abs / 150.60
Grappling / Wrestling
YanezGarbrandt
0.00TD / 150.85
0.22TD att / 153.76
0%TD accuracy23%
80%TD defense82%
0:26Control / 150:52
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
YanezGarbrandt
Head71%|72%
Body13%|13%
Leg15%|14%
Position
YanezGarbrandt
Distance91%|87%
Clinch1%|8%
Ground8%|5%
Ranking evolution Yanez Garbrandt
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Adrian Yanez
Yanez brings the higher output and forward pressure on the feet, backed by a 13 cm reach advantage that lets him work behind length. His ground control has been trending upward recently, and he carries modest threats both in getting the fight down and finishing from top. UFC record of 6-3, 2 wins in his last 5.
Cody Garbrandt
Garbrandt owns the sharper distance management and stand-up defense, plus a slightly sturdier chin to absorb what comes back. He enters off a win and a short 4.1-month turnaround, sitting at 10-7 in the UFC with 3 wins in his last 5 fights.
Matchup Read
Garbrandt's résumé and recent activity meet Yanez's matchup-specific tools: the pressure, length and volume. If Yanez uses his reach to establish range and pour on output, Garbrandt's defensive reads and chin become the counterweight, letting him weather exchanges and pick his spots. Yanez also carries the grappling threats here, so a stalling striking battle could tempt him to change levels, where his rising top game and finishing danger matter over three rounds.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Yanez can plant his range behind the reach or Garbrandt times the entries and resets to distance.
- Grappling: if Yanez shoots, watch whether he can hold top position and threaten, or Garbrandt works back to the feet.
- Absorbing fire: how Garbrandt's chin holds up against Yanez's volume as exchanges pile up.
Key Uncertainty
Yanez has been out for roughly 19 months, a long enough absence that his current sharpness and rhythm are hard to read until he's back in live exchanges.