← UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Dustin Stoltzfus
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08-15
55.3%
Model
81.2%
Market
1.19
Odds
-25.9
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
established · 10 UFC fightsestablished · 10 fights
STRIKING
P3
Striking Initiative
P50
P7
Volume
P49
P8
Striking Efficiency
P35
P31
Range Sniper
P23
P0
Kickboxing
P68
P69
Clinch Striking
P57
P2
Defensive Striking
P14
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P78
Wrestling
P70
P92
Pressure Wrestling
P81
P56
Top Control
P70
P47
Submission
P67
P23
Anti-Wrestling
P82
P78
Grappling Defense
P30
P33
Scrambler
P86
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P94
Power
P20
P90
Finisher
P28
P21
Damage Resistance
P23
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P73
Fast Starter
P78
P30
Pace
P82
P36
Late Fighter
P4
GLOBAL
P11
Versatility
P31
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
Abdul-MalikStoltzfus
2.93Landed / min3.28
4.94Absorbed / min3.25
45%Accuracy44%
40%Defense48%
0.58KD / 150.29
1.16KD abs / 150.43
Grappling / Wrestling
Abdul-MalikStoltzfus
2.89TD / 152.03
6.94TD att / 155.64
42%TD accuracy36%
90%TD defense50%
2:48Control / 154:09
0.58Sub att / 151.01
Targets
Abdul-MalikStoltzfus
Head88%|51%
Body8%|25%
Leg4%|24%
Position
Abdul-MalikStoltzfus
Distance34%|80%
Clinch21%|11%
Ground45%|9%
Ranking evolution Abdul-Malik Stoltzfus
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Mansur Abdul-Malik carries real finishing ability and a live submission threat into this one, backed by stingy takedown defense that keeps exchanges where he wants them. He owns a 13cm reach advantage to work behind. At 3-1 in the UFC and 10-1 overall, he arrives on a quick 4.6-month turnaround.
Dustin Stoltzfus
Dustin Stoltzfus brings the sturdier recent chin and a slight edge in distance control and stand-up defense. His UFC run sits at 3-7, 16-8 across all organizations, with his last win over the No. 36-ranked opponent. He has been out for 11 months and has recently absorbed a stoppage loss.
Matchup Read
Standing favors Abdul-Malik's finishing power and the length he can fight behind; the prolonged, lower-damage phases are where Stoltzfus's distance management and durability earn their keep. If Stoltzfus can't drag the fight to the mat, he's forced to solve a 13cm reach gap on the feet, where Abdul-Malik's submission threat also looms in any scramble. The question is whether Stoltzfus's recent toughness can absorb the early power and push this deep.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Stoltzfus can close distance and complete takedowns against Abdul-Malik's defense, or gets stuffed and reset.
- Early striking: how Stoltzfus handles the reach gap and Abdul-Malik's power in the opening round.
- Late rounds: if this reaches the third, whether Stoltzfus's durability has weathered the early finishing threat.