← UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
Andre Petroski vs Cody Brundage
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05-16
71.0%
Model
65.4%
Market
1.47
Odds
+5.6
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
established · 13 UFC fightsestablished · 13 fights
STRIKING
P14
Striking Initiative
P3
P10
Volume
P3
P33
Striking Efficiency
P47
P15
Range Sniper
P57
P33
Kickboxing
P41
P8
Clinch Striking
P53
P30
Defensive Striking
P35
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P92
Wrestling
P69
P93
Pressure Wrestling
P45
P97
Top Control
P29
P61
Submission
P46
P93
Anti-Wrestling
P4
P97
Grappling Defense
P21
P86
Scrambler
P79
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P17
Power
P63
P29
Finisher
P82
P21
Damage Resistance
P68
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P55
Fast Starter
P87
P69
Pace
P12
P21
Late Fighter
P49
GLOBAL
P85
Versatility
P33
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
PetroskiBrundage
2.81Landed / min2.08
2.79Absorbed / min2.82
49%Accuracy48%
53%Defense51%
0.12KD / 150.43
0.35KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
PetroskiBrundage
3.15TD / 151.98
6.06TD att / 154.54
52%TD accuracy44%
86%TD defense69%
5:54Control / 153:03
1.28Sub att / 150.57
Targets
PetroskiBrundage
Head65%|76%
Body20%|10%
Leg15%|14%
Position
PetroskiBrundage
Distance75%|72%
Clinch2%|12%
Ground23%|15%
Ranking evolution Petroski Brundage
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Andre Petroski
Andre Petroski brings the better-tested résumé here, with a win over the No. 45-ranked opponent and no recent stoppage loss on his record. He owns slight edges across the board: workable distance management and stand-up defense, the tools to put the fight on the mat as well as keep it standing, and a chin that holds up under fire.
Cody Brundage
Cody Brundage's standout quality in this matchup is his ground control, which has been trending upward in recent outings. His quick 2.3-month turnaround points to a willing schedule, though his recent results sit at 1 win in his last 5 UFC fights.
Matchup Read
Petroski's ability to defend takedowns and dictate where the fight happens runs straight into Brundage's rising ground control, so the central battle is positional: whether Brundage can secure top position or whether Petroski keeps it in open space. If Petroski manages distance, his stand-up defense and durability let him work standing; if Brundage ties him up and gets the fight down, his improving control becomes the deciding factor over three rounds.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Brundage can convert entries into sustained top time, or Petroski scrambles and resets to the feet.
- Early striking: how well Petroski uses his switch-stance looks to manage range and keep exchanges on his terms.
- Across three rounds: whether the fight stays standing in open space or repeatedly settles into grappling positions.