← UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan
Leon Shahbazyan vs Niko Price
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10-10
Leon ShahbazyanLow Data
vs Niko Price
64.2%
Model
58.4%
Market
1.65
Odds
+5.7
Edge (pp)
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
Style Matchup
established · 19 UFC fightsestablished · 19 fights
STRIKING
P0
Striking Initiative
P74
P0
Volume
P76
P0
Striking Efficiency
P49
P12
Range Sniper
P64
—
Kickboxing
P54
P60
Clinch Striking
P35
P45
Defensive Striking
P7
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P29
Wrestling
P44
P0
Pressure Wrestling
P38
P0
Top Control
P35
P71
Submission
P49
P53
Anti-Wrestling
P57
P51
Grappling Defense
P9
P36
Scrambler
P76
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P0
Power
P67
P60
Finisher
P83
P34
Damage Resistance
P38
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
—
Fast Starter
P29
P0
Pace
P72
—
Late Fighter
P54
GLOBAL
P5
Versatility
P10
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
ShahbazyanPrice
0.00Landed / min4.80
15.65Absorbed / min5.44
0%Accuracy44%
45%Defense46%
0.00KD / 150.41
39.13KD abs / 150.41
Grappling / Wrestling
ShahbazyanPrice
0.00TD / 151.24
0.00TD att / 153.92
—TD accuracy32%
—TD defense43%
0:00Control / 152:31
0.00Sub att / 150.72
Targets
ShahbazyanPrice
Head—|63%
Body—|15%
Leg—|21%
Position
ShahbazyanPrice
Distance—|76%
Clinch—|10%
Ground—|13%
Ranking evolution Shahbazyan Price
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Leon Shahbazyan
Shahbazyan brings his most meaningful danger on the mat, where his submission threat is real and his top control has been trending upward recently. At 12-5 across all organizations, he dropped his UFC debut to lower-ranked opposition and returns after 3.7 months out.
Niko Price
Price leans on a high-output, pressuring striking game backed by solid distance management and stand-up defense, and he's proven durable, able to eat shots and keep coming. His 16-11 overall record and tested run against ranked opposition give him the more varied résumé, though he's gone 1 for 5 in his last five UFC fights.
Matchup Read
Standing favors Price's volume, forward pressure and defensive craft, while the floor is where Shahbazyan's submission threat comes alive. The fight likely turns on whether Shahbazyan can drag it down and work from top, where his control has been improving, against a durable opponent who's hard to finish with strikes. If Price keeps it upright and manages range behind his reach, his output compounds over three rounds.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Price's pressure and output keep Shahbazyan pinned at range or Shahbazyan looks to close and change levels.
- Grappling: if the fight hits the mat, watch whether Shahbazyan can hold top position long enough to hunt a finish against a durable Price.
- Late rounds: whether Price's volume accumulates across three rounds or Shahbazyan forces repeated grappling exchanges to break the rhythm.
Key Uncertainty
With only one UFC fight on Shahbazyan's record, there's limited high-level footage to gauge how his ground game holds up against this caliber of opposition.