← UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan
RJ Harris vs Allen Frye Jr.
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10-10
RJ HarrisLow Data
63.8%
Model
71.4%
Market
1.35
Odds
-7.6
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
STRIKING
P83
Striking Initiative
P9
P63
Volume
P7
P92
Striking Efficiency
P1
P80
Range Sniper
P1
P47
Kickboxing
P4
P47
Clinch Striking
P88
P45
Defensive Striking
P8
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P29
Wrestling
P29
P1
Pressure Wrestling
P37
P60
Top Control
P98
P9
Submission
P4
P37
Anti-Wrestling
P47
P49
Grappling Defense
P59
P34
Scrambler
P33
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P100
Power
P40
P65
Finisher
P69
P40
Damage Resistance
P44
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P41
Fast Starter
—
P38
Pace
P28
—
Late Fighter
P7
GLOBAL
P44
Versatility
P11
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
HarrisJr.
9.00Landed / min2.20
6.60Absorbed / min4.27
58%Accuracy38%
56%Defense36%
9.00KD / 150.00
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
HarrisJr.
0.00TD / 150.00
0.00TD att / 150.00
—TD accuracy—
—TD defense—
1:30Control / 157:55
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
HarrisJr.
Head80%|52%
Body0%|36%
Leg20%|12%
Position
HarrisJr.
Distance47%|58%
Clinch0%|42%
Ground53%|0%
Ranking evolution Harris Jr.
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
RJ Harris
RJ Harris won his UFC debut and comes in on a short 2.8-month turnaround. His game is built around striking output and forward pressure, and recent fights have carried genuine knockout power along with a run of finishes. Those traits make him a threat to end exchanges quickly in the heavyweight pocket.
Allen Frye Jr.
Allen Frye Jr. holds a 6-1 mark across all organizations but dropped his UFC debut, with that defeat coming against modest regional opposition. He carries a slight reach and frame advantage, works behind cleaner distance management and stand-up defense, and has shown the ability to absorb punishment and stay in fights.
Matchup Read
Harris's pressure and power meet Frye's length and defensive range work. The central question is whether Harris can close the 5cm reach gap and get inside, where his volume and finishing threat live, or whether Frye uses the extra distance and his chin to keep exchanges at range and weather the early storm. If Frye manages distance, the fight stretches; if Harris crowds him, his power becomes the deciding factor.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Harris closes the reach gap and crowds Frye, or Frye keeps him at the end of his jab.
- Durability check: how Frye's chin holds up the first time Harris lands clean inside.
- Across three rounds: whether Harris sustains his pressure or Frye's range work drags the fight into later exchanges.
Key Uncertainty
Both men arrive with just a single UFC appearance each, so there's a thin top-level record to judge how either holds up against this quality of opposition.