← UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Julius Walker vs Dustin Jacoby
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02-07
55.7%
Model
37.6%
Market
2.56
Odds
+18.1
Edge (pp)
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P50
Striking Initiative
P92
P21
Volume
P95
P50
Striking Efficiency
P76
P21
Range Sniper
P87
P44
Kickboxing
P88
P86
Clinch Striking
P47
P7
Defensive Striking
P81
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P82
Wrestling
P5
P87
Pressure Wrestling
P29
P99
Top Control
P36
P24
Submission
P7
P58
Anti-Wrestling
P42
P76
Grappling Defense
P39
P35
Scrambler
P2
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P81
Power
P81
P63
Finisher
P65
P54
Damage Resistance
P33
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P31
Fast Starter
P65
P97
Pace
P42
P27
Late Fighter
P69
GLOBAL
P54
Versatility
P31
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
WalkerJacoby
4.33Landed / min5.38
3.53Absorbed / min4.24
56%Accuracy45%
44%Defense58%
0.50KD / 150.63
0.00KD abs / 150.63
Grappling / Wrestling
WalkerJacoby
3.50TD / 150.21
9.50TD att / 151.25
37%TD accuracy17%
100%TD defense62%
8:39Control / 151:08
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
WalkerJacoby
Head48%|65%
Body32%|15%
Leg19%|20%
Position
WalkerJacoby
Distance53%|91%
Clinch30%|8%
Ground17%|1%
Ranking evolution Walker Jacoby
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Julius Walker
Julius Walker brings a strong wrestling base to this matchup, comfortable both changing levels to put opponents on the mat and stuffing takedowns to keep exchanges where he wants them. He carries real finishing ability, with a 7-1 mark across all organizations, and a 5 cm reach edge that lets him operate at range.
Dustin Jacoby
Dustin Jacoby is the far more tested fighter, with a 21-9 record and meaningful time against elite competition. His ground control has been trending upward lately, he's stacked finishes over his recent fights, and he brings a slight edge in striking volume and forward pressure. Riding a 2-fight win streak.
Matchup Read
Walker carries the early finishing threat and controls where the fight happens, able to force takedowns or deny Jacoby's push to the mat and keep it standing. Jacoby's value builds the longer it goes: his volume and pressure, improving top game, and experience against better names matter more the deeper this travels. If Walker can't finish early or dictate position, Jacoby's output and seasoning become the story.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Walker imposes his takedowns or Jacoby's rising top game turns control against him.
- Early striking: whether Walker uses his reach and finishing threat before Jacoby's pressure and volume take over.
- Late rounds: whether Jacoby's tested cardio and forward pace start dictating the pace.
Key Uncertainty
With only two UFC fights on Walker's record, there's limited high-level tape to gauge how his wrestling and finishing hold up against a fighter as experienced as Jacoby.