← UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Aoriqileng vs Cody Gibson
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10-18
53.5%
Model
47.9%
Market
2.01
Odds
+5.6
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
established · 9 UFC fightsestablished · 9 fights
STRIKING
P76
Striking Initiative
P37
P69
Volume
P43
P95
Striking Efficiency
P46
P88
Range Sniper
P55
P91
Kickboxing
P40
P18
Clinch Striking
P91
P28
Defensive Striking
P70
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P53
Wrestling
P70
P43
Pressure Wrestling
P62
P26
Top Control
P62
P5
Submission
P54
P2
Anti-Wrestling
P11
P7
Grappling Defense
P33
P23
Scrambler
P26
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P39
Power
P35
P4
Finisher
P23
P31
Damage Resistance
P76
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P76
Fast Starter
P78
P36
Pace
P70
P90
Late Fighter
P12
GLOBAL
P37
Versatility
P64
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
AoriqilengGibson
4.58Landed / min3.61
5.02Absorbed / min3.18
50%Accuracy46%
51%Defense58%
0.38KD / 150.30
0.57KD abs / 150.15
Grappling / Wrestling
AoriqilengGibson
1.33TD / 152.13
2.85TD att / 155.62
47%TD accuracy38%
58%TD defense70%
2:00Control / 153:56
0.00Sub att / 150.61
Targets
AoriqilengGibson
Head65%|72%
Body24%|18%
Leg11%|11%
Position
AoriqilengGibson
Distance82%|73%
Clinch6%|23%
Ground12%|4%
Ranking evolution Aoriqileng Gibson
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Aoriqileng
Cody Gibson brings a rising striking output and a ground game trending upward, with the tools to scramble back to his feet when put on his back and a recent submission threat to his name. His length, five centimeters of reach and eight of height, gives him room to work at distance, and his output has held steady lately without any dip.
Cody Gibson
Aoriqileng's most consistent asset here is his cardio, holding pace deep into the fight. His all-organizations record sits at 26-12, and he's taken three of his last five in the UFC, though his most recent results came against modest regional opposition.
Matchup Read
Gibson carries the early technical edges, his length at range, his rising volume, and a submission threat that becomes relevant if the grappling gets tangled, while Aoriqileng's cardio grows in value the longer this runs. If Gibson controls distance and stays busy early, he dictates terms; Aoriqileng benefits from dragging it into deep water where his pace can wear on the exchanges. His ability to get back up limits time spent grounded.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Gibson uses his reach to keep the fight at his range and pile up volume.
- Grappling: if Gibson ends up on his back, how quickly he scrambles up and whether he threatens submissions in the tangle.
- Late rounds: whether Aoriqileng's pace holds up and starts turning the exchanges his way as the fight wears on.
Key Uncertainty
Aoriqileng comes in after 13.1 months out, a layoff long enough to note, though its actual effect on his timing and pace won't be clear until the fight is underway.