Early, de Ridder's finishing threat and recent knockout power set the tone, and his reach plus the crossed southpaw-orthodox look give him room to work at range. If Allen tries to change levels, de Ridder's takedown defense keeps it standing, and should it hit the mat, de Ridder's top control becomes the deciding factor. Allen's edge is the volume of tested rounds he can draw on as the fight stretches out.

Standing, Holland's 20 cm reach advantage sets the spacing, but Malott's sharper distance work and recent finishing power make the exchanges live for both. On the ground the interaction cuts across itself: Malott can change levels and, if put on his back, tends to scramble up rather than stay pinned, which limits Holland's chances to hunt the submissions that are his main recent weapon. Late, Malott's slight durability edge matters if it goes long.

Vera carries the more tested track record, but the sharper matchup-specific tools sit with Zahabi. On the feet, Zahabi's range control and stand-up defense have to work against Vera's 5 cm reach and switch-stance looks that change the angles. If Zahabi wants the mat his takedown entries are relevant, while his own takedown defense lets him dictate where this plays out. His chin gives him room to trade.

Grant's push to get the fight down runs straight into what has become dangerous for Jourdain: his submission threat and improving work from top. That makes each takedown a double-edged move, opening scramble and finishing chances off Grant's own entries. Standing, Grant's rising volume and slight defensive edge shape the exchanges, while Jourdain's recent finishing momentum keeps a sudden ending in play if the fight lingers on the mat.

The early fight leans toward Frevola's push to change levels, but that runs straight into Nelson's takedown defense, the central collision here. If Nelson keeps it standing, his rising volume and the 5 cm of height start to matter more as the fight wears on, working behind reach from a switch stance against Frevola's orthodox look. Frevola's durability keeps him in exchanges he can't dictate.

Dober's improved stand-up defense and pressure meet Prepolec's push to control from top. If Dober keeps this at range, his volume and cleaner distance management steer the striking exchanges. Prepolec's height offers reach in those trades, but his clearer path runs through changing levels and imposing the ground control that's been trending up. Prepolec's recent damage absorption matters against a pressure opponent who has kept his own recent bouts off the finish list.

Gibson carries the early technical edges, his length at range, his rising volume, and a submission threat that becomes relevant if the grappling gets tangled, while Aoriqileng's cardio grows in value the longer this runs. If Gibson controls distance and stays busy early, he dictates terms; Aoriqileng benefits from dragging it into deep water where his pace can wear on the exchanges. His ability to get back up limits time spent grounded.

Standing, Park's range control, defensive polish and height should shape the striking, while his finishing threat is live in every exchange. On the ground, his submission and top danger loom large, but Silva's takedown defense is the counter that could keep the fight where he wants it. If Silva stuffs entries and forces prolonged striking, he steers Park away from the mat, but he still has to contend with Park's power and durability in those exchanges.

Santos owns the busier volume, but Barlow's length and stand-up defense give him the tools to control range against that pressure. The wrinkle is grappling: Barlow's edge in getting it down runs straight into Santos's finishing threat off his back, so every takedown carries risk. If Barlow keeps it standing and long, his reach and chin frame the exchanges; if he commits to top position, he's entering Santos's most dangerous phase.

Standing, Belgaroui's length gives him room to work behind his jab and keep distance. On the mat the picture flips: Bekoev's ground finishing threat becomes the central danger, and every scramble or level change carries submission risk for Belgaroui. The fight likely hinges on whether Belgaroui can use his frame to keep it at range, or whether Bekoev drags it into the phase where his finishing shows up.