← UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Danny Barlow vs Djorden Santos
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10-18
Danny BarlowLow Data
61.9%
Model
68.7%
Market
1.40
Odds
-6.8
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
STRIKING
P92
Striking Initiative
P93
P93
Volume
P97
P88
Striking Efficiency
P55
P89
Range Sniper
P61
P81
Kickboxing
P68
P13
Clinch Striking
P6
P36
Defensive Striking
P26
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P11
Wrestling
P40
P9
Pressure Wrestling
P15
P61
Top Control
P43
P12
Submission
P34
P60
Anti-Wrestling
P43
P78
Grappling Defense
P57
P29
Scrambler
P35
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P81
Power
P8
P47
Finisher
P40
P30
Damage Resistance
P53
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P46
Fast Starter
P6
P40
Pace
P52
P24
Late Fighter
P77
GLOBAL
P52
Versatility
P28
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
BarlowSantos
5.33Landed / min8.73
3.63Absorbed / min9.00
50%Accuracy38%
50%Defense48%
0.51KD / 150.00
0.51KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
BarlowSantos
0.00TD / 151.00
1.02TD att / 153.00
0%TD accuracy33%
100%TD defense—
0:45Control / 150:26
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
BarlowSantos
Head71%|88%
Body14%|6%
Leg15%|6%
Position
BarlowSantos
Distance95%|99%
Clinch1%|0%
Ground4%|1%
Ranking evolution Barlow Santos
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Danny Barlow
Danny Barlow works behind the longer frame, using a 10 cm reach advantage to manage range and defend well on the feet. His path to the mat is a real asset, and he backs it with a sturdy chin. He's 2-1 in the UFC and 9-1 overall against modest regional competition.
Djorden Santos
Djorden Santos brings pressure and output on the feet, pushing a higher-volume striking pace. His most meaningful threat comes once the fight hits the mat, where his finishing ability off the ground stands out. He's 10-2 across all organizations but dropped his UFC debut against lower-ranked opposition.
Matchup Read
Santos owns the busier volume, but Barlow's length and stand-up defense give him the tools to control range against that pressure. The wrinkle is grappling: Barlow's edge in getting it down runs straight into Santos's finishing threat off his back, so every takedown carries risk. If Barlow keeps it standing and long, his reach and chin frame the exchanges; if he commits to top position, he's entering Santos's most dangerous phase.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Barlow's jab and range keep Santos from closing the gap and stacking volume.
- Grappling: if Barlow lands takedowns, watch how quickly Santos threatens submissions or scrambles off his back.
- Southpaw-orthodox angles: how the open-stance lead hands and Barlow's length shape the distance.
Key Uncertainty
Santos has just one UFC fight on record, so how his volume and ground game translate against this level of competition is hard to read with confidence.