← UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Mike Malott vs Kevin Holland
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10-18
51.1%
Model
56.5%
Market
1.70
Odds
-5.5
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P75
Striking Initiative
P91
P60
Volume
P77
P86
Striking Efficiency
P83
P73
Range Sniper
P72
P93
Kickboxing
P82
P11
Clinch Striking
P78
P54
Defensive Striking
P30
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P71
Wrestling
P34
P63
Pressure Wrestling
P46
P77
Top Control
P21
P81
Submission
P82
P90
Anti-Wrestling
P10
P26
Grappling Defense
P5
P63
Scrambler
P55
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P85
Power
P56
P94
Finisher
P91
P54
Damage Resistance
P85
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P71
Fast Starter
P80
P58
Pace
P49
P24
Late Fighter
P7
GLOBAL
P80
Versatility
P52
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
MalottHolland
3.98Landed / min4.29
2.52Absorbed / min3.32
54%Accuracy51%
55%Defense50%
0.91KD / 150.38
0.00KD abs / 150.11
Grappling / Wrestling
MalottHolland
2.13TD / 150.87
3.05TD att / 152.13
70%TD accuracy41%
33%TD defense54%
2:49Control / 151:55
0.61Sub att / 150.60
Targets
MalottHolland
Head48%|56%
Body24%|19%
Leg28%|25%
Position
MalottHolland
Distance85%|74%
Clinch2%|13%
Ground14%|12%
Ranking evolution Malott Holland
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Mike Malott
Kevin Holland carries a significant reach and frame advantage at welterweight, giving him length to work behind. His most consistent recent threat comes off submissions, keeping the ground live even from disadvantaged positions. He most recently beat the No. 15-ranked opponent, though his UFC ledger sits at 2 wins in his last 5.
Kevin Holland
Mike Malott arrives on a two-fight win streak with a 4/5 record over his last UFC outings and a 12-2 mark across all organizations. His recent knockout power stands out, and he's shown the ability to scramble back to his feet from bottom position. He also carries a slight edge in distance management, level-changing, and durability.
Matchup Read
Standing, Holland's 20 cm reach advantage sets the spacing, but Malott's sharper distance work and recent finishing power make the exchanges live for both. On the ground the interaction cuts across itself: Malott can change levels and, if put on his back, tends to scramble up rather than stay pinned, which limits Holland's chances to hunt the submissions that are his main recent weapon. Late, Malott's slight durability edge matters if it goes long.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Holland uses his length to keep Malott at the end of his punches, or Malott closes the gap to land his power.
- Grappling: if the fight hits the mat, watch whether Malott scrambles back up before Holland can set up a submission.
- Late rounds: which man's output and pace hold up as the fight wears on.