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Kyle Nelson

Kyle Nelson#45 LW

DISTANCE KICKBOXER
established · 11 UFC fights
17-8
Record
6 KO · 4 SUB · 7 DEC
Wins by method
WinLossWinLossLoss
Recent form
35
Age
180 cm
Height
180 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-03-28
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P45
Volume
P57
Striking Efficiency
P75
Range Sniper
P76
Kickboxing
P92
Clinch Striking
P43
Defensive Striking
P50
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P19
Pressure Wrestling
P64
Top Control
P43
Submission
P45
Anti-Wrestling
P13
Grappling Defense
P33
Scrambler
P17
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P34
Finisher
P18
Damage Resistance
P54
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P16
Pace
P43
Late Fighter
P26
GLOBAL
Versatility
P44
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).

Archetype history

  1. DISTANCE KICKBOXER2023-09-16 → CURRENT · 6 fights
  2. CLINCH STRIKER2023-06-10 · 1 fight
  3. MIXED PROFILE2022-07-23 · 1 fight
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-03-28
Striking
3.94
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
4.76
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
47%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
55%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.15
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.15
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
0.60
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
4.36
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
14%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
67%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
2:42
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.60
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head56%
Body26%
Leg18%
Position
Distance84%
Clinch13%
Ground3%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R296R377declining
TakedownsR1100R2180R3367increasing
ControlR1100R283R3106stable

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
38%
Model correct (3/8)
1/2
Fighter wins when model favored
3/6
Fighter wins when model underdog
0/1
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2026-10-17
vs Cristian Perez Loss · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
61.0%
Model · pick ✗
→
2026-03-28
vs Terrance McKinney Loss · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
42.8%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-10-18
vs Matt Frevola Win · DEC
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
50.0%
Model · pick ✗
→
2024-09-07
vs Steve Garcia Loss · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
37.8%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-03-30
vs Bill Algeo Win · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
34.6%
Model · pick ✗
→
2023-09-16
vs Fernando Padilla Win · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
19.2%
Model · pick ✗
→
2023-06-10
vs Blake Bilder Win · DEC
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
35.6%
Model · pick ✗
→
2022-07-23
vs Jai Herbert Loss · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
39.9%
Model · pick ✓
→