FIGHTintelligence
UFC predictions & fighter analytics
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Bill Algeo vs Kyle Nelson

65.4%
Model
63.0%
Market
1.53
Odds
+2.5
Edge (pp)
65.4%34.6%
Volume · Initiative
established · 8 UFC fightsestablished · 8 fights
Style Matchup
Kickboxing
limited sample · 7 UFC fightslimited · 7 fights
STRIKING
P99
Striking Initiative
P28
P92
Volume
P55
P92
Striking Efficiency
P77
P73
Range Sniper
P62
P88
Kickboxing
P95
P51
Clinch Striking
P46
P18
Defensive Striking
P43
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P49
Wrestling
P15
P26
Pressure Wrestling
P58
P41
Top Control
P33
P64
Submission
P51
P51
Anti-Wrestling
P8
P28
Grappling Defense
P38
P64
Scrambler
P23
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P22
Power
P8
P40
Finisher
P18
P91
Damage Resistance
P53
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P39
Fast Starter
P23
P75
Pace
P36
P12
Late Fighter
P11
GLOBAL
P65
Versatility
P37
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
AlgeoNelson
5.57Landed / min3.88
3.96Absorbed / min4.81
52%Accuracy46%
50%Defense54%
0.29KD / 150.00
0.00KD abs / 150.20
Grappling / Wrestling
AlgeoNelson
1.01TD / 150.39
1.88TD att / 154.71
54%TD accuracy8%
55%TD defense73%
2:42Control / 152:18
0.14Sub att / 150.79
Targets
AlgeoNelson
Head57%|54%
Body24%|27%
Leg19%|19%
Position
AlgeoNelson
Distance79%|85%
Clinch11%|14%
Ground11%|1%
Ranking evolution Algeo Nelson