← UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Charles Jourdain vs Davey Grant
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10-18
64.5%
Model
50.0%
Market
1.93
Odds
+14.5
Edge (pp)
established · 14 UFC fightsestablished · 14 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P93
Striking Initiative
P90
P89
Volume
P94
P84
Striking Efficiency
P61
P82
Range Sniper
P63
P85
Kickboxing
P89
P95
Clinch Striking
P7
P62
Defensive Striking
P65
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P7
Wrestling
P41
P25
Pressure Wrestling
P41
P35
Top Control
P38
P73
Submission
P71
P17
Anti-Wrestling
P70
P4
Grappling Defense
P45
P5
Scrambler
P47
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P68
Power
P27
P92
Finisher
P70
P71
Damage Resistance
P75
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P46
Fast Starter
P60
P54
Pace
P71
P94
Late Fighter
P63
GLOBAL
P39
Versatility
P70
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
JourdainGrant
5.66Landed / min5.18
4.39Absorbed / min3.74
49%Accuracy45%
56%Defense56%
0.55KD / 150.35
0.28KD abs / 150.26
Grappling / Wrestling
JourdainGrant
0.37TD / 151.04
1.75TD att / 152.61
21%TD accuracy40%
39%TD defense63%
1:46Control / 151:59
0.37Sub att / 150.17
Targets
JourdainGrant
Head54%|41%
Body28%|34%
Leg18%|25%
Position
JourdainGrant
Distance74%|89%
Clinch19%|5%
Ground7%|5%
Ranking evolution Jourdain Grant
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Charles Jourdain
Charles Jourdain arrives on a one-fight win streak with recent finishing momentum, and his submission threat has been showing up in his last outings. His top control has also been trending upward. He last beat the No. 36-ranked opponent and sits at 3 of his last 5 UFC fights.
Davey Grant
Davey Grant's most consistent tool here is his ability to drag the fight to the mat, and his striking output has been climbing recently. He carries a slight edge in range work and stand-up defense, rides a two-fight win streak, and his recent form has held steady without dips.
Matchup Read
Grant's push to get the fight down runs straight into what has become dangerous for Jourdain: his submission threat and improving work from top. That makes each takedown a double-edged move, opening scramble and finishing chances off Grant's own entries. Standing, Grant's rising volume and slight defensive edge shape the exchanges, while Jourdain's recent finishing momentum keeps a sudden ending in play if the fight lingers on the mat.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Grant's takedowns lead to sustained control or hand Jourdain scramble and submission openings off his back.
- Striking: how much Grant's climbing output governs range, and whether Jourdain's finishing power interrupts it.
- Late rounds: whether either man's pace holds if the fight goes deep across three rounds.