← UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Dom Mar Fan vs Kody Steele
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05-02
Dom Mar FanLow Data
vs Kody Steele
76.0%
Model
34.6%
Market
2.78
Odds
+41.4
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
STRIKING
P96
Striking Initiative
P18
P88
Volume
P80
P95
Striking Efficiency
P5
P62
Range Sniper
P22
P62
Kickboxing
P22
P92
Clinch Striking
P17
P29
Defensive Striking
P30
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P39
Wrestling
P39
P48
Pressure Wrestling
P8
P36
Top Control
P2
P26
Submission
P8
P39
Anti-Wrestling
P45
P52
Grappling Defense
P59
P72
Scrambler
P34
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P2
Power
P32
P21
Finisher
P42
P45
Damage Resistance
P37
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
—
Fast Starter
P8
P88
Pace
P22
P59
Late Fighter
P17
GLOBAL
P43
Versatility
P8
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
FanSteele
6.60Landed / min3.93
4.53Absorbed / min8.33
57%Accuracy28%
49%Defense48%
0.00KD / 150.00
0.00KD abs / 151.00
Grappling / Wrestling
FanSteele
1.00TD / 151.00
4.00TD att / 154.00
25%TD accuracy25%
90%TD defense—
3:07Control / 150:06
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
FanSteele
Head80%|80%
Body18%|17%
Leg2%|3%
Position
FanSteele
Distance64%|98%
Clinch29%|2%
Ground7%|0%
Ranking evolution Fan Steele
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Dom Mar Fan
Dom Mar Fan rides a five-fight win streak and won his UFC debut, now 9-2 overall. He carries a 10 cm reach advantage and brings sustained output, deep cardio to hold pace across three rounds, serviceable distance work, and top control once he gets the fight down.
Kody Steele
Kody Steele, 7-1 across all organizations, dropped his UFC debut and has been out for over 14 months. His most meaningful asset here is finishing ability, the capacity to end things before the scorecards rather than let a fight drift to a decision.
Matchup Read
Steele's finishing threat meets Mar Fan's pace and length. If Steele lands early and forces the exchanges he wants, his power shortens the night. The longer it runs, the more Mar Fan's reach, volume and cardio should compound, and his top control gives him a route to grind out rounds. Over three rounds, the question is whether Steele connects before Mar Fan's output and conditioning take over.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Steele can close the 10 cm reach gap and land the kind of shot that ends a fight.
- Late rounds: whether Mar Fan's pace and volume climb through the second and third as Steele's output holds or fades.
- Grappling: whether Mar Fan can use top position to stall Steele's finishing chances and bank control time.
Key Uncertainty
Both men have a single UFC appearance to judge, and Steele returns from over 14 months out, so reading how either performs against this level of opposition carries real limits.