← UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman
Chase Hooper vs Mitch Ramirez
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07-18
84.0%
Model
76.0%
Market
1.27
Odds
+7.9
Edge (pp)
established · 13 UFC fightsestablished · 13 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
STRIKING
P79
Striking Initiative
P36
P60
Volume
P82
P48
Striking Efficiency
P54
P21
Range Sniper
P41
P24
Kickboxing
P96
P38
Clinch Striking
P67
P2
Defensive Striking
P14
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P82
Wrestling
P17
P88
Pressure Wrestling
P5
P78
Top Control
P0
P90
Submission
P18
P87
Anti-Wrestling
P0
P32
Grappling Defense
P0
P99
Scrambler
P32
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P20
Power
P28
P82
Finisher
P65
P5
Damage Resistance
P19
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P62
Fast Starter
P4
P98
Pace
P14
P15
Late Fighter
P8
GLOBAL
P44
Versatility
P5
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
HooperRamirez
4.38Landed / min3.46
3.10Absorbed / min3.71
48%Accuracy42%
41%Defense38%
0.13KD / 150.00
0.78KD abs / 151.55
Grappling / Wrestling
HooperRamirez
2.75TD / 150.00
8.11TD att / 151.55
34%TD accuracy0%
50%TD defense25%
5:16Control / 150:20
1.96Sub att / 150.00
Targets
HooperRamirez
Head71%|46%
Body19%|19%
Leg11%|34%
Position
HooperRamirez
Distance61%|88%
Clinch12%|12%
Ground27%|0%
Ranking evolution Hooper Ramirez
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Chase Hooper
Chase Hooper's grappling carries the profile: he changes levels well, controls from top, and his ground game has been trending upward lately along with a live submission threat. He holds up well deep into fights and owns an 8-5 UFC mark, 15-5 overall. His reach and height add length on the feet.
Mitch Ramirez
Mitch Ramirez enters 0-2 in the UFC, 8-3 across all organizations, having been out for over a year. His striking output has been rising recently, giving him something to lean on standing, though his last loss came by stoppage.
Matchup Read
Ramirez brings the rising striking volume, but Hooper owns the sharper matchup-specific tools once it hits the mat. The fight likely turns on whether Ramirez can keep it standing and work behind his output, or whether Hooper closes distance, gets him down, and leans on his top control and submission threat. Hooper's cardio and length over three rounds favor a grinding path if the grappling exchanges go his way.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Ramirez can establish his volume before Hooper closes and changes levels.
- Grappling: how long Ramirez stays upright once Hooper shoots, and whether he can avoid giving up top position.
- Late rounds: if it reaches the third, whether Hooper's gas tank starts dictating pace.
Key Uncertainty
Ramirez has only two UFC fights on record and comes in off a layoff of over a year, which leaves his current form hard to read against a more established opponent.