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Levi Rodrigues Jr. vs Felipe Franco
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07-18
Levi Rodrigues Jr.Low Data
65.7%
Model
60.5%
Market
1.59
Odds
+5.1
Edge (pp)
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
Style Matchup
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P3
Volume
P12
Striking Efficiency
P9
Range Sniper
P7
Kickboxing
P41
Clinch Striking
P85
Defensive Striking
P37
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P26
Pressure Wrestling
P1
Top Control
P0
Submission
P29
Anti-Wrestling
P1
Grappling Defense
P48
Scrambler
P33
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P30
Finisher
P69
Damage Resistance
P42
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P10
Pace
P0
Late Fighter
P16
GLOBAL
Versatility
P11
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
Jr.Franco
—Landed / min1.40
—Absorbed / min2.27
—Accuracy35%
—Defense41%
—KD / 150.00
—KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
Jr.Franco
—TD / 150.00
—TD att / 151.00
—TD accuracy0%
—TD defense86%
—Control / 150:00
—Sub att / 150.00
Targets
Jr.Franco
Head—|62%
Body—|33%
Leg—|5%
Position
Jr.Franco
Distance—|62%
Clinch—|38%
Ground—|0%
Ranking evolution Jr. Franco
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Levi Rodrigues Jr.
Levi Rodrigues Jr. arrives unbeaten at 5-0 across all organizations, riding a five-fight win streak against modest regional opposition. He carries a slight edge in closing out fights before the scorecards, suggesting he can turn exchanges into finishes rather than let them drift to decision.
Felipe Franco
Felipe Franco holds a 9-2 record across all organizations and brings the central danger on the mat: a clear finishing threat on the ground, where he can hunt submissions once the fight hits the canvas. He dropped his UFC debut to the No. 41-ranked opponent and returns after 3.9 months out.
Matchup Read
Franco's ground finishing threat meets Rodrigues' urge to close the show, and that collision likely decides this. If Franco drags it to the canvas, his submission hunting becomes the primary danger, which gives Rodrigues real reason to keep exchanges standing where his finishing instinct has room to work. Over three rounds, whoever dictates where the fight lives, mat or feet, shapes the outcome.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Franco can get the fight to the mat and start working toward his submission threat
- Standing exchanges: whether Rodrigues can keep it upright and press for the kind of finish he favors
- Scrambles: who ends up on top when the action hits the floor and resets
Key Uncertainty
Reading this is limited by thin top-level evidence: Rodrigues is making his UFC debut with no promotional history, while Franco has just one UFC fight on record, so neither has been tested much at this level.