← UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman
Seokhyeon Ko vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07-18
Seokhyeon KoLow Data
60.6%
Model
66.8%
Market
1.44
Odds
-6.2
Edge (pp)
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
STRIKING
P23
Striking Initiative
P47
P2
Volume
P27
P22
Striking Efficiency
P69
P1
Range Sniper
P25
P5
Kickboxing
P58
P33
Clinch Striking
P47
P43
Defensive Striking
P31
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P88
Wrestling
P67
P82
Pressure Wrestling
P81
P100
Top Control
P95
P17
Submission
P73
P55
Anti-Wrestling
P46
P77
Grappling Defense
P59
P35
Scrambler
P34
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P20
Power
P8
P13
Finisher
P52
P42
Damage Resistance
P44
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P65
Fast Starter
P65
P89
Pace
P89
P16
Late Fighter
P21
GLOBAL
P57
Versatility
P56
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
KoLebosnoyani
2.30Landed / min4.40
0.47Absorbed / min3.60
67%Accuracy59%
63%Defense51%
0.00KD / 150.00
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
KoLebosnoyani
5.00TD / 153.00
6.50TD att / 159.00
77%TD accuracy33%
100%TD defense—
11:43Control / 155:17
0.50Sub att / 152.00
Targets
KoLebosnoyani
Head75%|61%
Body7%|15%
Leg17%|24%
Position
KoLebosnoyani
Distance38%|71%
Clinch4%|9%
Ground58%|20%
Ranking evolution Ko Lebosnoyani
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Seokhyeon Ko
Seokhyeon Ko rides a six-fight win streak and sits 2-0 in the UFC, 13-2 overall. His standing game shows sharp distance control and defensive responsibility, and once the fight hits the mat he grinds from top position. He also absorbs punishment well, and his recent slate includes tougher competition.
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani arrives on a five-fight streak at 10-2, fresh off a winning UFC debut. He switches stances and brings slightly higher output and pressure on the feet. His most meaningful weapon is his ability to end fights, with a real submission threat off the ground.
Matchup Read
Ko brings the sterner résumé and the cleaner stand-up, but Lebosnoyani owns the sharper finishing tools for this matchup. The pivotal tension is on the mat: Ko's top control is exactly where Lebosnoyani's submission threat lives, so every position Ko wants carries risk. If Ko keeps it at range and manages distance, his defense and chin blunt Lebosnoyani's pressure and power across three rounds.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Ko can pass and hold top position without getting drawn into Lebosnoyani's submission attempts.
- Early striking: does Lebosnoyani's volume and switch-stance pressure crowd Ko, or does Ko keep him at the end of his range.
- As it progresses: whether Ko's durability absorbs the pressure and pushes the fight toward the scorecards.
Key Uncertainty
Both men have thin UFC bodies of work, Ko with just two appearances and Lebosnoyani a single debut, which limits how firmly these tendencies can be read at this level.