← UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Marwan Rahiki vs Harry Hardwick
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03-14
Marwan RahikiLow Data
79.0%
Model
67.4%
Market
1.43
Odds
+11.6
Edge (pp)
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
Style Matchup
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P1
Volume
P23
Striking Efficiency
P15
Range Sniper
P32
Kickboxing
P68
Clinch Striking
P49
Defensive Striking
P32
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P29
Pressure Wrestling
P0
Top Control
P0
Submission
P32
Anti-Wrestling
P58
Grappling Defense
P51
Scrambler
P36
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P6
Finisher
P30
Damage Resistance
P30
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P3
Pace
P0
Late Fighter
—
GLOBAL
Versatility
P14
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
RahikiHardwick
—Landed / min2.39
—Absorbed / min7.16
—Accuracy35%
—Defense40%
—KD / 150.00
—KD abs / 154.48
Grappling / Wrestling
RahikiHardwick
—TD / 150.00
—TD att / 150.00
—TD accuracy—
—TD defense—
—Control / 150:00
—Sub att / 150.00
Targets
RahikiHardwick
Head—|75%
Body—|0%
Leg—|25%
Position
RahikiHardwick
Distance—|100%
Clinch—|0%
Ground—|0%
Ranking evolution Rahiki Hardwick
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Marwan Rahiki
Marwan Rahiki arrives unbeaten at 7-0 across all organizations, riding a seven-fight win streak against modest regional opposition. His standout trait is a habit of ending fights before the judges get involved, and he has not been stopped in his recent outings.
Harry Hardwick
Harry Hardwick brings a 13-4 record and a switch stance that lets him work from either side. His most relevant tool here is a finishing threat once the fight hits the mat. He dropped his UFC debut and last fought 6.2 months ago.
Matchup Read
Standing, Rahiki's finishing power is the story, and staying upright plays to his ability to close the show. On the ground, the picture shifts toward Hardwick, whose submission threat off the canvas is the central danger for Rahiki. The switch stance can complicate Rahiki's orthodox angles and lines of entry. If Hardwick can drag exchanges to the mat, his finishing threat becomes live; if Rahiki keeps it standing, his power dictates.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Rahiki can find his power shots against Hardwick's switching stance and shifting angles.
- Grappling: whether Hardwick can get the fight to the floor and work toward his submission threat, or Rahiki keeps it upright.
- Recent form: how Hardwick looks after 6.2 months out and coming off a debut loss.
Key Uncertainty
Reading this cleanly is hard: Rahiki is a UFC debutant with no top-level history, and Hardwick has just one Octagon fight, so both profiles rest largely on regional results.