← UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Oumar Sy vs Ion Cutelaba
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03-14
86.1%
Model
65.1%
Market
1.48
Odds
+21.0
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
established · 18 UFC fightsestablished · 18 fights
STRIKING
P40
Striking Initiative
P73
P43
Volume
P68
P51
Striking Efficiency
P28
P12
Range Sniper
P21
P70
Kickboxing
P17
P53
Clinch Striking
P85
P84
Defensive Striking
P14
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P77
Wrestling
P92
P75
Pressure Wrestling
P70
P96
Top Control
P52
P60
Submission
P40
P64
Anti-Wrestling
P13
P87
Grappling Defense
P50
P33
Scrambler
P22
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P15
Power
P53
P59
Finisher
P91
P57
Damage Resistance
P32
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P70
Fast Starter
P87
P93
Pace
P92
P49
Late Fighter
P21
GLOBAL
P87
Versatility
P37
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
SyCutelaba
3.67Landed / min4.21
1.72Absorbed / min3.09
48%Accuracy43%
70%Defense48%
0.00KD / 150.21
0.00KD abs / 150.32
Grappling / Wrestling
SyCutelaba
2.73TD / 153.21
7.42TD att / 156.42
37%TD accuracy50%
100%TD defense76%
5:33Control / 153:06
0.39Sub att / 150.11
Targets
SyCutelaba
Head52%|68%
Body20%|19%
Leg28%|13%
Position
SyCutelaba
Distance82%|59%
Clinch9%|22%
Ground9%|19%
Ranking evolution Sy Cutelaba
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Oumar Sy
Oumar Sy comes in at 12-1 overall and 3-1 in the UFC, winning three of his last four. He carries a sizable frame with a 20 cm reach advantage, recent knockout power, and a deep gas tank that holds up over the distance. His length also helps him manage range and limit what comes back.
Ion Cutelaba
Ion Cutelaba brings a long résumé at 19-11 across all organizations and 8-10 in the UFC, taking three of his last five. A southpaw, he last beat lower-ranked opposition and has been out for just over 10 months.
Matchup Read
Cutelaba carries the deeper experience, but the matchup-specific tools lean Sy's way. The 20 cm reach edge, paired with his range management against Cutelaba's southpaw angles, shapes most of the striking. If Cutelaba looks to change levels, Sy's takedown defense keeps it standing, and when it does hit the mat Sy's top control applies. With his cardio and finishing threat, the longer this goes the more his output and power matter.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Cutelaba can close the 20 cm reach gap and get inside, or eats shots walking in.
- Grappling: if Cutelaba shoots, can Sy stuff it and keep the fight standing, or does he end up on top.
- Late rounds: whether Sy's pace and power start telling as the fight wears on.