← UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
Axel Sola vs Mason Jones
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03-21
Axel SolaLow Data
vs Mason Jones
63.0%
Model
44.0%
Market
2.19
Odds
+19.0
Edge (pp)
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
Style Matchup
limited sample · 5 UFC fightslimited · 5 fights
STRIKING
P44
Striking Initiative
P83
P33
Volume
P77
P28
Striking Efficiency
P32
P51
Range Sniper
P33
P13
Kickboxing
P38
P58
Clinch Striking
P52
P83
Defensive Striking
P14
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P43
Wrestling
P95
P38
Pressure Wrestling
P90
P78
Top Control
P81
P6
Submission
P30
P42
Anti-Wrestling
P31
P55
Grappling Defense
P70
P35
Scrambler
P30
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P98
Power
P59
P45
Finisher
P43
P41
Damage Resistance
P54
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P49
Fast Starter
P84
P62
Pace
P99
P47
Late Fighter
P9
GLOBAL
P40
Versatility
P58
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
SolaJones
3.74Landed / min5.64
2.74Absorbed / min4.80
43%Accuracy41%
76%Defense50%
1.25KD / 150.22
0.00KD abs / 150.44
Grappling / Wrestling
SolaJones
1.25TD / 154.17
4.99TD att / 157.69
25%TD accuracy54%
—TD defense75%
3:51Control / 154:48
0.00Sub att / 150.22
Targets
SolaJones
Head89%|69%
Body11%|21%
Leg0%|10%
Position
SolaJones
Distance80%|76%
Clinch11%|13%
Ground9%|12%
Ranking evolution Sola Jones
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Axel Sola
Axel Sola arrives unbeaten at 11-0, winning his UFC debut off a long 11-fight run. His deep gas tank stands out as a real asset over the distance, and he pairs it with sound distance management, a durable chin, and a 10 cm height advantage as a southpaw.
Mason Jones
Mason Jones brings a 17-2 record and a 3-2 UFC ledger, 3 of his last 5. His defense has been trending upward lately, and his striking output and pressure have been climbing. He also carries a slight advantage in getting the fight to the mat.
Matchup Read
Standing tends to favor Jones' rising volume and forward pressure, while the deeper the fight runs, the more Sola's cardio and durability matter. Sola's height and reach as a southpaw give him space to manage distance against an orthodox pressure fighter. If Jones can't break Sola down early with output or drag him to the mat, Sola's tank and chin become increasingly relevant across the later stretches.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Jones' pressure and volume close the gap Sola's height and length create at range.
- Grappling: how often Jones changes levels, and whether Sola stays upright to keep it a striking fight.
- Late rounds: whether Sola's tank and durability start dictating the pace as Jones' output slows.
Key Uncertainty
With just one UFC fight on Sola's record, there's limited high-level tape to confirm how his cardio, chin and distance control hold up against a more experienced opponent like Jones.