Evloev owns the tested résumé against top-15 names, but Murphy carries the sharper matchup-specific tools standing, where his rising volume and recent power make the exchanges dangerous. Evloev's route runs through his top control, grounding Murphy and keeping him off his feet. Murphy's own ground work is improving, so if Evloev secures position he still needs to hold it. The height difference gives Murphy a touch more room to operate at range.

Aswell brings the sterner recent competition, but Riley owns the sharper matchup-specific tools. The fight likely turns on the striking exchanges: Aswell wants to press forward and pile up volume, while Riley's range control and stand-up defense are built to keep him at the end of his shots. If Riley manages distance and lands clean, his power and durability let him weather the pressure and hunt a finish.

Patterson's push to get it down meets Page's takedown defense head-on, and that collision likely decides things. If Page keeps it standing, he dictates range and denies Patterson his grappling. If Patterson lands his entries, his finishing momentum and recent power become live threats. Patterson's rising output tests whether Page can keep stuffing shots and reset to open space over the course of the fight.

Baraniewski's pressure and finishing threat carry the early danger, forcing Lane to manage range and keep him off the inside with the reach. If Lane can't hold distance, Baraniewski's volume closes the gap and his stoppage ability comes into play. Should the fight go longer, Lane's chin, frame and top control gain value, and any moment he drags it down flips the exchange toward his ground game.

Standing, Duncan's edge in output, power and the 8 cm of reach shapes the exchanges, and his takedown defense complicates any effort by Dolidze to change levels and drag it to the mat. If Dolidze can close the distance and get grappling entries working, the fight shifts into deeper waters for Duncan; if he can't, he's forced to trade at range against the longer, harder-hitting man on the feet.

Silva brings the tested cage time against stiffer names, but the sharper matchup tools sit with Campbell. The central question is whether Silva can keep this competitive over the distance or gets dragged into Campbell's finishing habits, on the feet or on the mat. Campbell's ground threat and reach give him routes to close the show; Silva's task is to weather the early pressure and force a longer, decision-length fight where his experience against better opponents can matter.

Standing tends to favor Jones' rising volume and forward pressure, while the deeper the fight runs, the more Sola's cardio and durability matter. Sola's height and reach as a southpaw give him space to manage distance against an orthodox pressure fighter. If Jones can't break Sola down early with output or drag him to the mat, Sola's tank and chin become increasingly relevant across the later stretches.

Keita's reach and finishing power meet Wood's threat to drag the fight to the mat. At range, Keita's length lets him work behind his jab and keep exchanges in the territory where his power matters. The counter is Wood's submission danger: if he can close the distance and get the fight to the floor, Keita's striking advantage shrinks and Wood's grappling becomes the decisive factor. Distance control versus level changes shapes it.

Pinto's knockout power and reach meet Franco's chin and his ability to close the gap. With an 8 cm reach advantage, Pinto can work behind his length and load up early, so the fight may hinge on whether Franco can get past that range and drag exchanges into territory where the size gap matters less. If Franco stays at the end of Pinto's punches, the finishing threat grows.

Standing, Kondratavicius carries the finishing danger and needs to close the 13 cm reach gap Trocoli uses to keep him at the end of strikes. On the ground the phase flips: Trocoli's submission threat becomes the central risk, so scrambling back up matters for Kondratavicius. Whoever dictates where the exchanges happen, in the pocket or on the mat, shapes the result.

Pericic carries the early danger with his power and finishing threat, and the picture stays tilted his way the longer it goes standing. His pressure and range work meet a taller, longer frame, and Sutherland's most direct answer is to change levels, but Pericic defends takedowns well to keep it upright. If Sutherland can't drag it to the mat, he's left trading in the phase where Pericic's volume, defense and durability all matter most.

Rock carries the early finishing danger, while Al-Selwady's grappling grows in value the longer the fight stays contested. The central tension is clear: Al-Selwady's top control meets Rock's ability to stuff takedowns and keep it standing. If Rock defends the entries and uses his length from southpaw, the striking plays to him. If Al-Selwady gets through and flattens him out, his control dictates. Who wins the first exchange, the shot or the sprawl, decides the pattern.