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Luke Riley

Luke Riley#22 FW

provisional · 3 UFC fights
14-0
Record
10 KO · 0 SUB · 4 DEC
Wins by method
WinWinWinWinWin
Recent form
27
Age
175 cm
Height
175 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-07-11
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P99
Volume
P98
Striking Efficiency
P100
Range Sniper
P100
Kickboxing
P96
Clinch Striking
P64
Defensive Striking
P84
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P16
Pressure Wrestling
P1
Top Control
P2
Submission
P0
Anti-Wrestling
P7
Grappling Defense
P8
Scrambler
P28
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P98
Finisher
P58
Damage Resistance
P62
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P78
Pace
P21
Late Fighter
P48
GLOBAL
Versatility
P26
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).

Archetype history

  1. PRECISION STRIKER2026-07-11 → CURRENT · 1 fight
  2. POWER STRIKER2026-03-21 · 1 fight
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-07-11
Striking
6.67
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
3.86
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
59%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
61%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
1.27
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.00
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
0.00
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.00
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
—
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
38%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
0:11
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.00
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head68%
Body26%
Leg6%
Position
Distance82%
Clinch11%
Ground7%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R299R3118increasing
TakedownsR1100R2—R3—no R3 data
ControlR1100R21125R30declining

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
67%
Model correct (2/3)
2/2
Fighter wins when model favored
1/1
Fighter wins when model underdog
1/1
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2026-07-11
60.7%
Model · pick ✓
→
2026-03-21
71.1%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-11-22
38.1%
Model · pick ✗
→