← UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
Brando Pericic vs Louie Sutherland
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03-21
Brando PericicLow Data
51.9%
Model
71.4%
Market
1.35
Odds
-19.4
Edge (pp)
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P96
Striking Initiative
P2
P82
Volume
P18
P92
Striking Efficiency
P98
P41
Range Sniper
P92
P39
Kickboxing
P100
P72
Clinch Striking
P56
P52
Defensive Striking
P44
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P29
Wrestling
P29
P11
Pressure Wrestling
P0
P76
Top Control
P0
P16
Submission
P0
P39
Anti-Wrestling
P3
P58
Grappling Defense
P4
P35
Scrambler
P35
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P36
Power
P30
P68
Finisher
P51
P39
Damage Resistance
P39
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
—
Fast Starter
P7
P84
Pace
P0
—
Late Fighter
—
GLOBAL
P51
Versatility
P18
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
PericicSutherland
15.13Landed / min2.14
1.57Absorbed / min3.57
59%Accuracy60%
67%Defense0%
0.00KD / 150.00
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
PericicSutherland
0.00TD / 150.00
0.00TD att / 150.00
—TD accuracy—
100%TD defense0%
3:47Control / 150:00
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
PericicSutherland
Head79%|33%
Body7%|0%
Leg14%|67%
Position
PericicSutherland
Distance38%|100%
Clinch41%|0%
Ground21%|0%
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Brando Pericic
Brando Pericic comes in on a three-fight run across all organizations, 5-1 overall and fresh off a winning UFC debut. He fights at a high output behind good distance control and stand-up defense, defends the takedown well to keep things standing, and carries real finishing power. His chin has held up under fire, and the eight-centimeter reach edge helps him work at range.
Louie Sutherland
Louie Sutherland is 10-4 across all organizations, with more total pro experience than his opponent, though he dropped his UFC debut. His last loss came against the No. 35-ranked opponent, a step up in opposition quality.
Matchup Read
Pericic carries the early danger with his power and finishing threat, and the picture stays tilted his way the longer it goes standing. His pressure and range work meet a taller, longer frame, and Sutherland's most direct answer is to change levels, but Pericic defends takedowns well to keep it upright. If Sutherland can't drag it to the mat, he's left trading in the phase where Pericic's volume, defense and durability all matter most.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Pericic uses his reach to keep Sutherland at the end of his punches and stack up volume.
- Grappling: whether Sutherland can close distance and complete a level change against a takedown defense built to keep it standing.
- Durability: how Sutherland's power lands on a chin that has absorbed damage without folding.
Key Uncertainty
Both men carry only a single UFC fight apiece, so how each holds up against this level of competition remains lightly tested and limits how firmly the matchup can be read.