AIKeita's reach and finishing power meet Wood's threat to drag the fight to the mat. At range, Keita's length …

60.1%

Model

38.1%

Market

2.53

Odds

+22.0

Edge (pp)

Nathaniel Wood

DEC

60.1%39.9%

Losene Keita

VOLUME PRESSURE STRIKER

PRECISION STRIKER · DISTANCE KICKBOXER

Volume · Initiative

established · 13 UFC fightsestablished · 13 fights

Style Matchup

No UFC data yet

UFC debut · style profile after first fight

STRIKING

P93

Striking Initiative

P88

Volume

P90

Striking Efficiency

P86

Range Sniper

P89

Kickboxing

P21

Clinch Striking

P48

Defensive Striking

GRAPPLING / WRESTLING

P61

Wrestling

P52

Pressure Wrestling

P47

Top Control

P57

Submission

P72

Anti-Wrestling

P86

Grappling Defense

P55

Scrambler

DAMAGE / FINISHING

P50

Power

P20

Finisher

P70

Damage Resistance

FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill

P64

Fast Starter

P71

Pace

P20

Late Fighter

GLOBAL

P93

Versatility

Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.

Striking

WoodKeita

5.74Landed / min—

4.32Absorbed / min—

52%Accuracy—

54%Defense—

0.43KD / 15—

0.26KD abs / 15—

Grappling / Wrestling

WoodKeita

1.46TD / 15—

2.92TD att / 15—

50%TD accuracy—

73%TD defense—

2:26Control / 15—

0.52Sub att / 15—

Targets

Position

Ranking evolution Wood Keita

AI Matchup Analysis

Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.

Nathaniel Wood

Nathaniel Wood comes in on a three-fight run with a 10-3 UFC mark and 22-6 overall, taking four of his last five in the Octagon. His most meaningful tool in this matchup is his submission threat once the fight hits the mat, where he carries finishing danger from top or bottom.

Losene Keita

Losene Keita arrives for his UFC debut riding a five-fight win streak and a 16-1 record across all organizations. He carries real finishing ability and the better results against quality opposition, and he owns the physical dimensions here, standing taller with roughly 8 cm of reach on Wood.

Matchup Read

Keita's reach and finishing power meet Wood's threat to drag the fight to the mat. At range, Keita's length lets him work behind his jab and keep exchanges in the territory where his power matters. The counter is Wood's submission danger: if he can close the distance and get the fight to the floor, Keita's striking advantage shrinks and Wood's grappling becomes the decisive factor. Distance control versus level changes shapes it.

What to Watch

Early striking: whether Keita can use his length to keep Wood at the end of his punches, or Wood closes the gap.
Grappling: how often Wood gets the fight to the mat, and whether his submission threat forces Keita to scramble.
Finishing windows: either man's ability to end exchanges before the scorecards come into play.

Key Uncertainty

Keita is making his UFC debut with no Octagon history to draw on, so how his five-fight streak and finishing resume translate against this level of opposition is the main limit on reading him here.

Nathaniel Wood vs Losene Keita