AIHasanov carries the earlier finishing danger, while Nolan's best route grows as the fight settles onto the m…

58.6%

Model

40.5%

Market

2.38

Odds

+18.1

Edge (pp)

Eric Nolan

58.6%41.4%

Farman Hasanov

DEC

MIXED PROFILE

provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights

Style Matchup

No UFC data yet

UFC debut · style profile after first fight

STRIKING

Striking Initiative

P51

Volume

P40

Striking Efficiency

P45

Range Sniper

P63

Kickboxing

P59

Clinch Striking

P24

Defensive Striking

GRAPPLING / WRESTLING

P28

Wrestling

Pressure Wrestling

Top Control

P18

Submission

Anti-Wrestling

P22

Grappling Defense

P34

Scrambler

DAMAGE / FINISHING

P13

Power

P44

Finisher

P42

Damage Resistance

FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill

—

Fast Starter

Pace

—

Late Fighter

GLOBAL

P14

Versatility

Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.

Striking

NolanHasanov

3.14Landed / min—

5.13Absorbed / min—

39%Accuracy—

42%Defense—

0.00KD / 15—

0.00KD abs / 15—

Grappling / Wrestling

NolanHasanov

0.00TD / 15—

2.14TD att / 15—

0%TD accuracy—

71%TD defense—

0:36Control / 15—

0.00Sub att / 15—

Targets

Position

AI Matchup Analysis

Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.

Eric Nolan

Eric Nolan comes in at 8-4 across all organizations, dropping his UFC debut to go 0-1 in the promotion. His most relevant asset here is a threat to finish from the ground, where he carries some submission danger in top or scrambling positions. He also holds an eight-centimeter height advantage.

Farman Hasanov

Farman Hasanov enters on a five-fight win streak, unbeaten at 5-0 against modest regional opposition, and makes his UFC debut. His standout trait is the ability to end fights before the scorecards, a consistent finishing rate that gives him a path to a stoppage in any phase.

Matchup Read

Hasanov carries the earlier finishing danger, while Nolan's best route grows as the fight settles onto the mat. If Hasanov keeps it in open space, his stoppage threat shapes the exchanges; if Nolan can drag it to the ground and work from top, his submission threat becomes the live counter. Nolan's height and reach give him room to manage distance, but it comes down to whose finishing lane opens first across three rounds.

What to Watch

Early striking: whether Nolan uses his height to keep Hasanov at range or gets drawn into close-quarters exchanges where the finishing threat lives.
Grappling: if Nolan gets the fight down and advances position, watch whether his submission threat turns into real control or Hasanov scrambles clear.
As rounds pass: whether either fighter's finishing lane opens before the scorecards come into play.

Key Uncertainty

Both men are hard to read at this level, with Nolan owning just a single UFC fight and Hasanov stepping in on debut with no UFC history to measure against.

Eric Nolan vs Farman Hasanov