Winning bet Losing bet No bet · win No bet · loss
2026-06-27
-7.04%
ROI
−0.4u
Gain
50.0%
Accuracy
12
Fights
▼
limited sample · 6 UFC fightslimited · 6 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P95
Striking Initiative
P64
P85
Volume
P73
P95
Striking Efficiency
P92
P95
Range Sniper
P91
P63
Kickboxing
P95
P74
Clinch Striking
P65
P35
Defensive Striking
P23
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P66
Wrestling
P46
P25
Pressure Wrestling
P16
P36
Top Control
P23
P86
Submission
P7
P35
Anti-Wrestling
P39
P85
Grappling Defense
P98
P27
Scrambler
P3
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P98
Power
P62
P91
Finisher
P49
P20
Damage Resistance
P45
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P93
Fast Starter
P42
P63
Pace
P15
—
Late Fighter
P85
GLOBAL
P90
Versatility
P69
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
TorresFiziev
6.69Landed / min4.71
4.33Absorbed / min4.84
60%Accuracy53%
51%Defense50%
3.93KD / 150.21
1.97KD abs / 150.31
Grappling / Wrestling
TorresFiziev
1.97TD / 150.83
2.95TD att / 151.24
67%TD accuracy67%
90%TD defense90%
1:31Control / 151:03
0.98Sub att / 150.00
Targets
TorresFiziev
Head66%|43%
Body28%|40%
Leg6%|17%
Position
TorresFiziev
Distance68%|88%
Clinch14%|10%
Ground19%|2%
Ranking evolution Torres Fiziev
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Manuel Torres
Manuel Torres carries real stopping power, with a strong finishing habit on the ground backing up his pressure. He's 5-1 in the UFC with four wins in his last five, riding a two-fight streak that includes a win over the No. 15-ranked opponent. His submission threat off top position has been improving, and he hasn't been stopped recently. Longer and taller here by 5 cm each.
Rafael Fiziev
Rafael Fiziev brings a deep UFC résumé at 7-5, though just one win in his last five. His most recent victory came against the No. 18-ranked opponent, while his last loss came to the No. 47-ranked opponent. He has shared the cage with high-level competition across his career.
Matchup Read
Fiziev holds the more tested track record, but the matchup-specific tools tilt toward Torres, whose finishing threat both standing and on the mat gives him the sharper routes to end it. Torres also owns slightly more size and pushes a bit more volume. One caution for him: Fiziev has not absorbed a recent stoppage, so Torres may need to stack rounds rather than count on an early finish across a five-round fight.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Torres uses his 5 cm of reach to pressure behind volume or Fiziev establishes range first.
- Grappling: if Torres gets top position, watch his submission chains, where his finishing threat is most concrete.
- Late rounds: whether Torres' output holds across the championship rounds or the fight settles onto the scorecards.
limited sample · 6 UFC fightslimited · 6 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P100
Striking Initiative
P54
P98
Volume
P71
P100
Striking Efficiency
P93
P94
Range Sniper
P93
P99
Kickboxing
P95
P80
Clinch Striking
P68
P8
Defensive Striking
P35
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P5
Wrestling
P57
P7
Pressure Wrestling
P34
P4
Top Control
P17
P0
Submission
P70
P9
Anti-Wrestling
P61
P47
Grappling Defense
P75
P13
Scrambler
P39
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P80
Power
P31
P67
Finisher
P25
P83
Damage Resistance
P72
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P23
Fast Starter
P44
P23
Pace
P18
P20
Late Fighter
P97
GLOBAL
P13
Versatility
P94
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
MagomedovPereira
5.93Landed / min4.46
3.85Absorbed / min4.40
63%Accuracy52%
44%Defense51%
0.36KD / 150.28
0.00KD abs / 150.09
Grappling / Wrestling
MagomedovPereira
0.00TD / 151.21
0.18TD att / 152.15
0%TD accuracy57%
71%TD defense76%
0:21Control / 151:05
0.00Sub att / 150.65
Targets
MagomedovPereira
Head43%|46%
Body31%|43%
Leg26%|11%
Position
MagomedovPereira
Distance79%|85%
Clinch15%|11%
Ground6%|3%
Ranking evolution Magomedov Pereira
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Shara Magomedov
Shara Magomedov carries clear finishing power, the kind of striking that ends fights before the scorecards. His recent form shows rising ground control and improving defense, and he's held up well in absorbing damage lately without a recent stoppage loss. He arrives 16-1 overall, 5-1 in the UFC, off a win over the No. 42-ranked opponent.
Michel Pereira
Michel Pereira's clearest route here is getting the fight to the mat, where his takedowns become relevant. His cardio stands out, holding pace deep into the fight. A veteran at 33-14 overall and 10-5 in the UFC, he's taken 2 of his last 5, both his recent result and recent loss coming against lower-ranked opposition.
Matchup Read
Early, Magomedov's finishing power is the live danger on the feet, and his recent durability helps him weather exchanges. As the fight stretches across three rounds, Pereira's edge in holding pace grows in value, and his push to get it down pulls Magomedov out of the striking that favors him. The central question is whether Magomedov's improving ground game and defense keep him upright long enough to keep landing, or whether Pereira drags it into deeper water.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Magomedov can land his power before Pereira changes levels to close the distance.
- Grappling: whether Pereira completes his takedown attempts or Magomedov stays upright and keeps the fight standing.
- Late rounds: whether Pereira's pace tells in the third if the fight grinds on.
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P3
Striking Initiative
P51
P5
Volume
P65
P29
Striking Efficiency
P88
P17
Range Sniper
P93
P61
Kickboxing
P79
P27
Clinch Striking
P95
P83
Defensive Striking
P32
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P86
Wrestling
P16
P79
Pressure Wrestling
P10
P72
Top Control
P10
P34
Submission
P49
P45
Anti-Wrestling
P39
P37
Grappling Defense
P41
P33
Scrambler
P52
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P12
Power
P82
P24
Finisher
P91
P51
Damage Resistance
P18
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P63
Fast Starter
P3
P30
Pace
P14
P58
Late Fighter
P17
GLOBAL
P56
Versatility
P40
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
CamiloSadykhov
2.19Landed / min4.44
3.25Absorbed / min4.85
43%Accuracy51%
64%Defense51%
0.00KD / 150.37
0.00KD abs / 151.10
Grappling / Wrestling
CamiloSadykhov
4.43TD / 150.37
8.22TD att / 151.46
54%TD accuracy25%
—TD defense69%
3:43Control / 151:27
0.63Sub att / 150.37
Targets
CamiloSadykhov
Head63%|63%
Body19%|25%
Leg17%|12%
Position
CamiloSadykhov
Distance94%|74%
Clinch2%|24%
Ground4%|2%
Ranking evolution Camilo Sadykhov
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Matheus Camilo
Matheus Camilo brings a durable, well-conditioned profile at 10-3 overall, with a chin that holds up under fire and a gas tank built to carry pace deep into three rounds. He manages range reasonably on the feet and can grind from top position once the fight hits the mat.
Nazim Sadykhov
Nazim Sadykhov sits at 4-1 in the UFC and 11-2 overall, and his standout trait is the ability to close the show before the scorecards. He works behind a bit more volume and forward pressure in the striking exchanges, operating from a southpaw stance.
Matchup Read
Sadykhov carries the early finishing danger: his pressure and output push for a stoppage while the fight is fresh. Camilo's path runs the other way, leaning on his chin, defensive range work and conditioning to drag this into the later going where his cardio becomes the deciding factor. If Camilo weathers the opening storm and can mix in top control, the three-round math starts tilting toward him.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Sadykhov's southpaw volume forces Camilo backward or Camilo holds the range and defends clean.
- Late rounds: if the fight reaches the third, watch whose pace holds up as Camilo's conditioning becomes relevant.
- Grappling: whether Camilo can turn mat exchanges into sustained top control rather than brief positions.
Key Uncertainty
With only two UFC appearances on Camilo's record, there's a limited sample at this level to gauge how his durability and pace hold up against a finisher of Sadykhov's quality.
limited sample · 7 UFC fightslimited · 7 fights
Style Matchup
established · 14 UFC fightsestablished · 14 fights
STRIKING
P14
Striking Initiative
P88
P4
Volume
P89
P29
Striking Efficiency
P87
P10
Range Sniper
P84
P38
Kickboxing
P91
P55
Clinch Striking
P74
P33
Defensive Striking
P67
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P95
Wrestling
P10
P94
Pressure Wrestling
P21
P98
Top Control
P7
P86
Submission
P36
P81
Anti-Wrestling
P33
P33
Grappling Defense
P48
P84
Scrambler
P45
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P18
Power
P51
P33
Finisher
P27
P61
Damage Resistance
P70
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P95
Fast Starter
P5
P76
Pace
P41
P2
Late Fighter
P85
GLOBAL
P62
Versatility
P42
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
AlmabayevJohnson
2.31Landed / min4.77
1.99Absorbed / min4.02
51%Accuracy50%
54%Defense56%
0.17KD / 150.34
0.00KD abs / 150.25
Grappling / Wrestling
AlmabayevJohnson
4.46TD / 150.51
10.41TD att / 153.04
43%TD accuracy17%
44%TD defense69%
6:59Control / 151:00
1.49Sub att / 150.34
Targets
AlmabayevJohnson
Head54%|50%
Body24%|29%
Leg22%|20%
Position
AlmabayevJohnson
Distance65%|81%
Clinch11%|14%
Ground24%|5%
Ranking evolution Almabayev Johnson
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Asu Almabayev
Almabayev's game runs through his wrestling: he changes levels well and holds position once he's on top, where his submission threat has been live recently. He's taken no recent damage he couldn't absorb, and his 23-3 overall mark with a 6-1 UFC run reflects consistent output.
Charles Johnson
Johnson brings the longer, rangier frame, with 13 cm of reach on Almabayev to work behind on the feet. His recent power has shown up in his hands, and he carries the stronger gas tank deep into the distance.
Matchup Read
On the feet, Johnson's reach and recent pop favor him at range, where he can keep this at kicking and jabbing distance. The floor flips it: Almabayev's level changes and top control bring his submission threat into play, and that's where Johnson's standup assets go quiet. The read is whether Almabayev can close the 13 cm gap and plant him, against a longer man who holds up better over three rounds.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Johnson can use his length to keep Almabayev at range and tag him on entries.
- Grappling: how cleanly Almabayev closes distance, finishes takedowns, and transitions toward submissions on top.
- Late rounds: if the fight stays standing into round three, Johnson's cardio becomes more relevant.
Style Matchup
limited sample · 5 UFC fightslimited · 5 fights
STRIKING
P37
Striking Initiative
P91
P56
Volume
P73
P91
Striking Efficiency
P94
P95
Range Sniper
P87
P92
Kickboxing
P80
P16
Clinch Striking
P18
P40
Defensive Striking
P4
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P45
Wrestling
P80
P49
Pressure Wrestling
P90
P20
Top Control
P95
P69
Submission
P36
P86
Anti-Wrestling
P63
P44
Grappling Defense
P88
P48
Scrambler
P31
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P92
Power
P87
P95
Finisher
P45
P42
Damage Resistance
P35
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P24
Fast Starter
P82
P26
Pace
P91
P35
Late Fighter
P35
GLOBAL
P77
Versatility
P86
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
FerreiraAliskerov
3.60Landed / min7.15
3.84Absorbed / min5.27
50%Accuracy65%
52%Defense41%
0.77KD / 151.73
0.26KD abs / 150.58
Grappling / Wrestling
FerreiraAliskerov
1.29TD / 152.88
5.40TD att / 154.04
24%TD accuracy71%
59%TD defense100%
1:08Control / 153:51
0.77Sub att / 150.00
Targets
FerreiraAliskerov
Head70%|64%
Body17%|26%
Leg12%|10%
Position
FerreiraAliskerov
Distance91%|83%
Clinch4%|3%
Ground4%|15%
Ranking evolution Ferreira Aliskerov
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Brunno Ferreira
Brunno Ferreira brings a 15-3 overall record and a 3/5 run in his last five UFC fights, with a win over the No. 18-ranked opponent on his resume. His most dangerous asset here is a live submission threat, and he's shown enough composure at range to hold a small edge in distance management and stand-up defense.
Ikram Aliskerov
Ikram Aliskerov carries a 2-fight win streak and a 17-2 overall mark, with volume and pressure driving his striking. He defends takedowns well and prefers to keep exchanges standing, backed by a 10 cm reach advantage and a 5 cm height edge. His recent chin and damage absorption have held up without a recent stoppage loss.
Matchup Read
Aliskerov owns the cleaner recent form and the physical frame, but the sharper matchup question is whether he keeps this standing. His takedown defense and preference to strike run straight into Ferreira's main route, the submission threat that needs the fight on the mat. If Aliskerov enforces range behind his reach and pressure, Ferreira's grappling never gets going. Should Ferreira close distance and tie him up, the finishing danger shifts his way.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Aliskerov uses his reach and southpaw angles to keep Ferreira pinned at the end of his strikes.
- Grappling: whether Ferreira can close distance and drag it to the mat, or whether the takedowns get stuffed against the fence.
- Scrambles: if the fight does hit the floor, how quickly Aliskerov works back to his feet before submissions develop.
limited sample · 7 UFC fightslimited · 7 fights
Style Matchup
established · 17 UFC fightsestablished · 17 fights
STRIKING
P24
Striking Initiative
P92
P22
Volume
P83
P60
Striking Efficiency
P96
P38
Range Sniper
P94
P71
Kickboxing
P85
P16
Clinch Striking
P10
P52
Defensive Striking
P72
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P83
Wrestling
P30
P70
Pressure Wrestling
P33
P80
Top Control
P36
P61
Submission
P6
P63
Anti-Wrestling
P74
P81
Grappling Defense
P34
P28
Scrambler
P44
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P55
Power
P94
P63
Finisher
P67
P21
Damage Resistance
P97
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P87
Fast Starter
P81
P43
Pace
P52
P19
Late Fighter
P35
GLOBAL
P86
Versatility
P73
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
MagomedovOleksiejczuk
3.07Landed / min5.96
3.43Absorbed / min4.65
49%Accuracy53%
56%Defense58%
0.20KD / 151.31
0.60KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
MagomedovOleksiejczuk
2.61TD / 150.88
4.42TD att / 152.33
59%TD accuracy38%
100%TD defense53%
3:56Control / 151:40
0.40Sub att / 150.00
Targets
MagomedovOleksiejczuk
Head57%|69%
Body31%|27%
Leg13%|4%
Position
MagomedovOleksiejczuk
Distance86%|80%
Clinch3%|4%
Ground10%|16%
Ranking evolution Magomedov Oleksiejczuk
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Abus Magomedov
Magomedov owns the takedown defense to keep this standing and a 10cm reach advantage that lets him work from the outside. He carries a recent submission threat when exchanges hit the mat, and his all-organizations record sits at 28-7, with 3 wins in his last 5 UFC fights.
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Oleksiejczuk rides a three-fight win streak and has shown recent knockout power. His striking output has been climbing lately, and so has his ground control. Steady across recent outings, he returns after 4.6 months off with a 22-9 record and 3 wins in his last 5 UFC fights.
Matchup Read
At range, Magomedov's reach and ability to keep it standing let him meet Oleksiejczuk's rising volume on his own terms, though the southpaw's recent power means every exchange carries finishing risk. If the fight hits the floor, the phases split: Oleksiejczuk's climbing top control against Magomedov's submission threat off his back. The orthodox-southpaw mismatch reshapes the striking angles over three rounds.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Magomedov uses his length to keep Oleksiejczuk at the end of his punches or gets drawn into close-range power exchanges.
- Grappling: if it goes to the mat, watch whether Oleksiejczuk establishes top position or finds himself in Magomedov's guard submission attempts.
- Southpaw angles: how the crossed-stance geometry affects lead-hand exchanges and who lands the cleaner cross.
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
Style Matchup
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
STRIKING
P7
Striking Initiative
P51
Volume
P40
Striking Efficiency
P45
Range Sniper
P63
Kickboxing
P59
Clinch Striking
P24
Defensive Striking
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P28
Wrestling
P4
Pressure Wrestling
P1
Top Control
P18
Submission
P1
Anti-Wrestling
P22
Grappling Defense
P34
Scrambler
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P13
Power
P44
Finisher
P42
Damage Resistance
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
—
Fast Starter
P4
Pace
—
Late Fighter
GLOBAL
P14
Versatility
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
NolanHasanov
3.14Landed / min—
5.13Absorbed / min—
39%Accuracy—
42%Defense—
0.00KD / 15—
0.00KD abs / 15—
Grappling / Wrestling
NolanHasanov
0.00TD / 15—
2.14TD att / 15—
0%TD accuracy—
71%TD defense—
0:36Control / 15—
0.00Sub att / 15—
Targets
NolanHasanov
Head77%|—
Body23%|—
Leg0%|—
Position
NolanHasanov
Distance82%|—
Clinch18%|—
Ground0%|—
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Eric Nolan
Eric Nolan comes in at 8-4 across all organizations, dropping his UFC debut to go 0-1 in the promotion. His most relevant asset here is a threat to finish from the ground, where he carries some submission danger in top or scrambling positions. He also holds an eight-centimeter height advantage.
Farman Hasanov
Farman Hasanov enters on a five-fight win streak, unbeaten at 5-0 against modest regional opposition, and makes his UFC debut. His standout trait is the ability to end fights before the scorecards, a consistent finishing rate that gives him a path to a stoppage in any phase.
Matchup Read
Hasanov carries the earlier finishing danger, while Nolan's best route grows as the fight settles onto the mat. If Hasanov keeps it in open space, his stoppage threat shapes the exchanges; if Nolan can drag it to the ground and work from top, his submission threat becomes the live counter. Nolan's height and reach give him room to manage distance, but it comes down to whose finishing lane opens first across three rounds.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Nolan uses his height to keep Hasanov at range or gets drawn into close-quarters exchanges where the finishing threat lives.
- Grappling: if Nolan gets the fight down and advances position, watch whether his submission threat turns into real control or Hasanov scrambles clear.
- As rounds pass: whether either fighter's finishing lane opens before the scorecards come into play.
Key Uncertainty
Both men are hard to read at this level, with Nolan owning just a single UFC fight and Hasanov stepping in on debut with no UFC history to measure against.
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
STRIKING
P55
Striking Initiative
P31
P13
Volume
P12
P28
Striking Efficiency
P39
P11
Range Sniper
P17
P1
Kickboxing
P41
P47
Clinch Striking
P81
P44
Defensive Striking
P2
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P82
Wrestling
P87
P100
Pressure Wrestling
P84
P100
Top Control
P98
P94
Submission
P24
P45
Anti-Wrestling
P60
P61
Grappling Defense
P85
P36
Scrambler
P34
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P87
Power
P72
P73
Finisher
P65
P42
Damage Resistance
P34
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P84
Fast Starter
P65
P99
Pace
P91
—
Late Fighter
P62
GLOBAL
P51
Versatility
P53
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
YakhyaevWalker
3.80Landed / min3.73
2.34Absorbed / min4.03
52%Accuracy54%
56%Defense43%
4.39KD / 150.41
0.00KD abs / 150.41
Grappling / Wrestling
YakhyaevWalker
13.17TD / 154.09
17.56TD att / 1510.63
75%TD accuracy38%
—TD defense100%
10:15Control / 158:12
8.78Sub att / 150.00
Targets
YakhyaevWalker
Head92%|48%
Body8%|31%
Leg0%|20%
Position
YakhyaevWalker
Distance46%|53%
Clinch0%|30%
Ground54%|17%
Ranking evolution Yakhyaev Walker
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
Yakhyaev arrives unbeaten at 9-0 overall and 2-0 in the UFC, riding a nine-fight win streak. He manages range and defends well on the feet, changes levels effectively to drag fights down, and carries real finishing threat once on top. His chin has held up through recent outings, and his finishes have been coming regularly.
Julius Walker
Walker sits at 7-2 overall and 1-2 in the UFC, with one win in his last 3 trips to the Octagon. His most recent loss came against the No. 19-ranked opponent, and he holds a 5 cm height advantage here. He last beat modest regional opposition.
Matchup Read
Yakhyaev's push to get the fight to the mat meets a Walker who hasn't shown a clear answer for it on paper. If the takedowns land, Yakhyaev's top game and submission threat take over, and his striking defense limits what Walker can do at range despite the reach that comes with his height. Walker's path runs through keeping it standing and using his frame early, before Yakhyaev closes distance and changes levels across three rounds.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Walker can stay off the mat, because Yakhyaev's top control and finishing threat compound once the fight gets there.
- Early striking: whether Walker uses his 5 cm height to work behind a jab before Yakhyaev steps inside the range.
- Durability: how Walker's chin holds up if the fight stays close, given Yakhyaev's recent finishing pace.
Key Uncertainty
With only 2 UFC fights on Yakhyaev's record, his level against higher-tier light heavyweight competition remains lightly tested, which limits how far his unbeaten run projects forward.
limited sample · 5 UFC fightslimited · 5 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
STRIKING
P18
Striking Initiative
P13
P23
Volume
P24
P42
Striking Efficiency
P68
P71
Range Sniper
P85
P28
Kickboxing
P73
P38
Clinch Striking
P72
P32
Defensive Striking
P76
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P43
Wrestling
P9
P14
Pressure Wrestling
P22
P20
Top Control
P5
P57
Submission
P16
P65
Anti-Wrestling
P5
P15
Grappling Defense
P12
P81
Scrambler
P28
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P81
Power
P78
P88
Finisher
P72
P45
Damage Resistance
P31
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P40
Fast Starter
P23
P4
Pace
P1
P41
Late Fighter
P45
GLOBAL
P22
Versatility
P12
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
RuziboevPulyaev
2.59Landed / min2.74
2.89Absorbed / min3.20
47%Accuracy48%
49%Defense57%
1.12KD / 150.41
0.37KD abs / 150.82
Grappling / Wrestling
RuziboevPulyaev
0.75TD / 150.00
1.12TD att / 151.64
67%TD accuracy0%
33%TD defense56%
1:43Control / 150:46
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
RuziboevPulyaev
Head69%|57%
Body25%|34%
Leg6%|9%
Position
RuziboevPulyaev
Distance71%|83%
Clinch8%|15%
Ground21%|2%
Ranking evolution Ruziboev Pulyaev
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Nursulton Ruziboev
Ruziboev brings a deep 36-9 record and a 4-1 UFC run, including a win over the No. 44-ranked opponent, with his only loss coming to the No. 11-ranked opponent. His game centers on getting the fight down and threatening to finish there, where his control has been trending upward, and his pace holds up late over three rounds.
Andrey Pulyaev
Pulyaev is 10-4 across all organizations and 1-2 in the UFC, with recent wins and losses against modest regional opposition. The southpaw carries a roughly 5 cm reach advantage, giving him some room to work at range.
Matchup Read
Ruziboev owns the more tested résumé and the sharper matchup-specific tools, particularly his drive to put the fight on the mat and finish from top. Pulyaev's reach and southpaw look offer space early, but that advantage shrinks fast if the exchanges become grappling. The read turns on whether Pulyaev can keep it standing at range or whether Ruziboev closes distance, changes levels, and imposes his top game, where his finishing threat lives.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Pulyaev uses his reach and southpaw angles to keep Ruziboev from closing distance.
- Grappling: whether Ruziboev lands his level changes and establishes top position, where his finishing threat grows.
- Late rounds: whether Ruziboev's pace tells across three rounds if the fight stays competitive.
Key Uncertainty
Ruziboev has been out for over 13 months, a longer-than-usual gap whose effect on his timing and sharpness is hard to gauge until the fight is underway.
Style Matchup
provisional · 4 UFC fightsprovisional · 4 fights
STRIKING
P83
Striking Initiative
P2
P57
Volume
P6
P41
Striking Efficiency
P18
P30
Range Sniper
P10
P0
Kickboxing
P41
P31
Clinch Striking
P87
P33
Defensive Striking
P42
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P58
Wrestling
P22
P97
Pressure Wrestling
P68
P100
Top Control
P60
P48
Submission
P82
P41
Anti-Wrestling
P64
P51
Grappling Defense
P10
P34
Scrambler
P73
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P94
Power
P2
P58
Finisher
P42
P40
Damage Resistance
P22
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P58
Fast Starter
P48
P100
Pace
P26
—
Late Fighter
P30
GLOBAL
P42
Versatility
P14
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
ReyesOfli
9.23Landed / min2.33
3.41Absorbed / min3.34
61%Accuracy46%
37%Defense54%
3.01KD / 150.00
0.00KD abs / 150.76
Grappling / Wrestling
ReyesOfli
3.01TD / 150.38
6.02TD att / 155.31
50%TD accuracy7%
—TD defense0%
5:52Control / 153:48
0.00Sub att / 150.38
Targets
ReyesOfli
Head91%|40%
Body9%|39%
Leg0%|21%
Position
ReyesOfli
Distance20%|70%
Clinch0%|27%
Ground80%|3%
Ranking evolution Reyes Ofli
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Javier Reyes
Javier Reyes rides a 3-fight run to a 23-5 overall mark after taking his UFC debut. He brings pressure and output on the feet, backed by finishing ability and recent knockout power, and uses an 18 cm reach advantage to work at range. He has held up well under fire lately and can grind from top position.
Kaan Ofli
Kaan Ofli sits at 2-2 in the UFC, 13-6 overall, winning two of his last four and beating lower-ranked opposition in his most recent outing. His most reliable tool here is getting off his back and scrambling back to his feet when the fight hits the mat.
Matchup Read
Reyes' pressure and reach meet Ofli's work to neutralize it from the feet, where Reyes owns the range and the finishing threat. If Reyes converts that pressure into top position, his slight control edge runs straight into Ofli's ability to scramble up and reset. The fight likely turns on whether Reyes can pin Ofli down long enough to work, or whether Ofli keeps standing it back up and drags it late.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Ofli can close the 18 cm reach gap and get inside, or eats volume at range.
- Grappling: once Reyes gets top position, how quickly Ofli scrambles back to his feet.
- Late rounds: if Ofli stays standing and survives early, whether the fight drifts toward a decision across three rounds.
Key Uncertainty
With only a single UFC fight on Reyes' record, his form against this level of competition is hard to read beyond his all-organizations résumé, leaving his ceiling against UFC-caliber opposition largely untested.
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
Style Matchup
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
STRIKING
P97
Striking Initiative
P85
Volume
P96
Striking Efficiency
P84
Range Sniper
P93
Kickboxing
P44
Clinch Striking
P93
Defensive Striking
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P33
Wrestling
P12
Pressure Wrestling
P62
Top Control
P17
Submission
P38
Anti-Wrestling
P58
Grappling Defense
P33
Scrambler
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P92
Power
P58
Finisher
P48
Damage Resistance
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P88
Fast Starter
P79
Pace
P22
Late Fighter
GLOBAL
P74
Versatility
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
DonchenkoBerggren
7.15Landed / min—
2.57Absorbed / min—
60%Accuracy—
73%Defense—
1.54KD / 15—
0.00KD abs / 15—
Grappling / Wrestling
DonchenkoBerggren
0.77TD / 15—
2.31TD att / 15—
33%TD accuracy—
75%TD defense—
2:37Control / 15—
0.00Sub att / 15—
Targets
DonchenkoBerggren
Head53%|—
Body21%|—
Leg26%|—
Position
DonchenkoBerggren
Distance76%|—
Clinch9%|—
Ground15%|—
Ranking evolution Donchenko Berggren
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Daniil Donchenko
Daniil Donchenko comes in 2-0 in the UFC and 12-4 overall, riding a two-fight win streak. His recent run carries real finishing momentum and knockout power, and he's shown he can perform against a higher tier of opposition than his opponent has faced.
Theodor Berggren
Theodor Berggren makes his UFC debut at 8-3 across all organizations, also on a two-fight run. He's the longer man here by 10 cm of reach, and his switch-stance approach lets him attack from either side.
Matchup Read
Donchenko's finishing threat and recent power make the early exchanges his territory, where a clean shot can end things in three rounds. Berggren's 10 cm reach gives him the space to fight long and keep the taller frame between himself and that power. If he manages the distance behind his jab and the stance switches, he can stretch the fight; if Donchenko closes that gap, his knockout threat becomes the deciding factor.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Donchenko can close the reach gap and land clean, or Berggren keeps him at the end of his range.
- Distance management: how well Berggren uses his length and stance switches to deny the inside pocket.
- Late rounds: whether the fight reaches the third with Donchenko's finishing threat still looming or neutralized.
Key Uncertainty
Reading this cleanly is hard: Donchenko has only two UFC fights on record, and Berggren arrives on debut with no UFC history to measure against, leaving both ceilings against this level of competition unproven.
limited sample · 5 UFC fightslimited · 5 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
STRIKING
P80
Striking Initiative
P0
P91
Volume
P9
P32
Striking Efficiency
P8
P38
Range Sniper
P64
P57
Kickboxing
P47
P55
Clinch Striking
P24
P13
Defensive Striking
P8
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P91
Wrestling
P12
P66
Pressure Wrestling
P3
P49
Top Control
P1
P61
Submission
P5
P31
Anti-Wrestling
P1
P32
Grappling Defense
P2
P57
Scrambler
P29
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P5
Power
P99
P20
Finisher
P78
P82
Damage Resistance
P61
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P61
Fast Starter
P46
P92
Pace
P0
P91
Late Fighter
P52
GLOBAL
P35
Versatility
P1
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
MatsumotoAlmakhan
5.09Landed / min1.61
5.16Absorbed / min3.73
41%Accuracy34%
47%Defense37%
0.00KD / 150.97
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
MatsumotoAlmakhan
3.64TD / 150.00
7.50TD att / 150.48
49%TD accuracy0%
55%TD defense42%
3:19Control / 150:18
0.64Sub att / 150.00
Targets
MatsumotoAlmakhan
Head57%|68%
Body18%|22%
Leg25%|10%
Position
MatsumotoAlmakhan
Distance89%|94%
Clinch11%|2%
Ground0%|4%
Ranking evolution Matsumoto Almakhan
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Jean Matsumoto
Jean Matsumoto brings heavy striking volume and forward pressure, backed by the ability to drag the fight to the mat and threaten finishes once there. His pace holds up deep into the fight, and his ground control has been trending upward lately. He sits at 17-2 overall and 3-2 in the UFC.
Bekzat Almakhan
Bekzat Almakhan carries a slight edge in ending fights before the scorecards, and his striking output has been rising recently. He's 13-3 across all organizations and 1-2 in the UFC, with his last win coming against the No. 46-ranked opponent.
Matchup Read
Almakhan's finishing threat matters most early, while Matsumoto's cardio grows in value as the three rounds wear on. Matsumoto can dictate where this goes: his pressure and output on the feet pair with level changes to his own ground game, where his finishing threat lives. If Almakhan can't end it in the opening frames, he risks being walked down and ground out as the pace tells.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Almakhan lands something heavy before Matsumoto settles into his volume and forward pressure.
- Grappling: how often Matsumoto changes levels, and whether he advances position toward a finish once on top.
- Late rounds: whose output holds up in the third as the pace accumulates.























