← UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
Manuel Torres vs Rafael Fiziev
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06-27
50.9%
Model
48.2%
Market
2.00
Odds
+2.7
Edge (pp)
limited sample · 6 UFC fightslimited · 6 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P95
Striking Initiative
P64
P85
Volume
P73
P95
Striking Efficiency
P92
P95
Range Sniper
P91
P63
Kickboxing
P95
P74
Clinch Striking
P65
P35
Defensive Striking
P23
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P66
Wrestling
P46
P25
Pressure Wrestling
P16
P36
Top Control
P23
P86
Submission
P7
P35
Anti-Wrestling
P39
P85
Grappling Defense
P98
P27
Scrambler
P3
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P98
Power
P62
P91
Finisher
P49
P20
Damage Resistance
P45
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P93
Fast Starter
P42
P63
Pace
P15
—
Late Fighter
P85
GLOBAL
P90
Versatility
P69
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
TorresFiziev
6.69Landed / min4.71
4.33Absorbed / min4.84
60%Accuracy53%
51%Defense50%
3.93KD / 150.21
1.97KD abs / 150.31
Grappling / Wrestling
TorresFiziev
1.97TD / 150.83
2.95TD att / 151.24
67%TD accuracy67%
90%TD defense90%
1:31Control / 151:03
0.98Sub att / 150.00
Targets
TorresFiziev
Head66%|43%
Body28%|40%
Leg6%|17%
Position
TorresFiziev
Distance68%|88%
Clinch14%|10%
Ground19%|2%
Ranking evolution Torres Fiziev
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Manuel Torres
Manuel Torres carries real stopping power, with a strong finishing habit on the ground backing up his pressure. He's 5-1 in the UFC with four wins in his last five, riding a two-fight streak that includes a win over the No. 15-ranked opponent. His submission threat off top position has been improving, and he hasn't been stopped recently. Longer and taller here by 5 cm each.
Rafael Fiziev
Rafael Fiziev brings a deep UFC résumé at 7-5, though just one win in his last five. His most recent victory came against the No. 18-ranked opponent, while his last loss came to the No. 47-ranked opponent. He has shared the cage with high-level competition across his career.
Matchup Read
Fiziev holds the more tested track record, but the matchup-specific tools tilt toward Torres, whose finishing threat both standing and on the mat gives him the sharper routes to end it. Torres also owns slightly more size and pushes a bit more volume. One caution for him: Fiziev has not absorbed a recent stoppage, so Torres may need to stack rounds rather than count on an early finish across a five-round fight.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Torres uses his 5 cm of reach to pressure behind volume or Fiziev establishes range first.
- Grappling: if Torres gets top position, watch his submission chains, where his finishing threat is most concrete.
- Late rounds: whether Torres' output holds across the championship rounds or the fight settles onto the scorecards.