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Shara Magomedov vs Michel Pereira

AIEarly, Magomedov's finishing power is the live danger on the feet, and his recent durability helps him weath…
74.2%
Model
73.1%
Market
1.32
Odds
+1.1
Edge (pp)
Kickboxing
limited sample · 6 UFC fightslimited · 6 fights
Style Matchup
Striking Efficiency · Range
established · 15 UFC fightsestablished · 15 fights
STRIKING
P100
Striking Initiative
P54
P98
Volume
P71
P100
Striking Efficiency
P93
P94
Range Sniper
P93
P99
Kickboxing
P95
P80
Clinch Striking
P68
P8
Defensive Striking
P35
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P5
Wrestling
P57
P7
Pressure Wrestling
P34
P4
Top Control
P17
P0
Submission
P70
P9
Anti-Wrestling
P61
P47
Grappling Defense
P75
P13
Scrambler
P39
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P80
Power
P31
P67
Finisher
P25
P83
Damage Resistance
P72
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P23
Fast Starter
P44
P23
Pace
P18
P20
Late Fighter
P97
GLOBAL
P13
Versatility
P94
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
MagomedovPereira
5.93Landed / min4.46
3.85Absorbed / min4.40
63%Accuracy52%
44%Defense51%
0.36KD / 150.28
0.00KD abs / 150.09
Grappling / Wrestling
MagomedovPereira
0.00TD / 151.21
0.18TD att / 152.15
0%TD accuracy57%
71%TD defense76%
0:21Control / 151:05
0.00Sub att / 150.65
Targets
MagomedovPereira
Head43%|46%
Body31%|43%
Leg26%|11%
Position
MagomedovPereira
Distance79%|85%
Clinch15%|11%
Ground6%|3%
Ranking evolution Magomedov Pereira
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Shara Magomedov
Shara Magomedov carries clear finishing power, the kind of striking that ends fights before the scorecards. His recent form shows rising ground control and improving defense, and he's held up well in absorbing damage lately without a recent stoppage loss. He arrives 16-1 overall, 5-1 in the UFC, off a win over the No. 42-ranked opponent.
Michel Pereira
Michel Pereira's clearest route here is getting the fight to the mat, where his takedowns become relevant. His cardio stands out, holding pace deep into the fight. A veteran at 33-14 overall and 10-5 in the UFC, he's taken 2 of his last 5, both his recent result and recent loss coming against lower-ranked opposition.
Matchup Read
Early, Magomedov's finishing power is the live danger on the feet, and his recent durability helps him weather exchanges. As the fight stretches across three rounds, Pereira's edge in holding pace grows in value, and his push to get it down pulls Magomedov out of the striking that favors him. The central question is whether Magomedov's improving ground game and defense keep him upright long enough to keep landing, or whether Pereira drags it into deeper water.
What to Watch
  • Early striking: whether Magomedov can land his power before Pereira changes levels to close the distance.
  • Grappling: whether Pereira completes his takedown attempts or Magomedov stays upright and keeps the fight standing.
  • Late rounds: whether Pereira's pace tells in the third if the fight grinds on.