← UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
Jean Matsumoto vs Bekzat Almakhan
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06-27
60.9%
Model
57.7%
Market
1.67
Odds
+3.2
Edge (pp)
limited sample · 5 UFC fightslimited · 5 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
STRIKING
P80
Striking Initiative
P0
P91
Volume
P9
P32
Striking Efficiency
P8
P38
Range Sniper
P64
P57
Kickboxing
P47
P55
Clinch Striking
P24
P13
Defensive Striking
P8
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P91
Wrestling
P12
P66
Pressure Wrestling
P3
P49
Top Control
P1
P61
Submission
P5
P31
Anti-Wrestling
P1
P32
Grappling Defense
P2
P57
Scrambler
P29
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P5
Power
P99
P20
Finisher
P78
P82
Damage Resistance
P61
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P61
Fast Starter
P46
P92
Pace
P0
P91
Late Fighter
P52
GLOBAL
P35
Versatility
P1
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
MatsumotoAlmakhan
5.09Landed / min1.61
5.16Absorbed / min3.73
41%Accuracy34%
47%Defense37%
0.00KD / 150.97
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
MatsumotoAlmakhan
3.64TD / 150.00
7.50TD att / 150.48
49%TD accuracy0%
55%TD defense42%
3:19Control / 150:18
0.64Sub att / 150.00
Targets
MatsumotoAlmakhan
Head57%|68%
Body18%|22%
Leg25%|10%
Position
MatsumotoAlmakhan
Distance89%|94%
Clinch11%|2%
Ground0%|4%
Ranking evolution Matsumoto Almakhan
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Jean Matsumoto
Jean Matsumoto brings heavy striking volume and forward pressure, backed by the ability to drag the fight to the mat and threaten finishes once there. His pace holds up deep into the fight, and his ground control has been trending upward lately. He sits at 17-2 overall and 3-2 in the UFC.
Bekzat Almakhan
Bekzat Almakhan carries a slight edge in ending fights before the scorecards, and his striking output has been rising recently. He's 13-3 across all organizations and 1-2 in the UFC, with his last win coming against the No. 46-ranked opponent.
Matchup Read
Almakhan's finishing threat matters most early, while Matsumoto's cardio grows in value as the three rounds wear on. Matsumoto can dictate where this goes: his pressure and output on the feet pair with level changes to his own ground game, where his finishing threat lives. If Almakhan can't end it in the opening frames, he risks being walked down and ground out as the pace tells.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Almakhan lands something heavy before Matsumoto settles into his volume and forward pressure.
- Grappling: how often Matsumoto changes levels, and whether he advances position toward a finish once on top.
- Late rounds: whose output holds up in the third as the pace accumulates.