← UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
Abus Magomedov vs Michal Oleksiejczuk
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06-27
51.0%
Model
55.9%
Market
1.72
Odds
-4.9
Edge (pp)
limited sample · 7 UFC fightslimited · 7 fights
Style Matchup
established · 17 UFC fightsestablished · 17 fights
STRIKING
P24
Striking Initiative
P92
P22
Volume
P83
P60
Striking Efficiency
P96
P38
Range Sniper
P94
P71
Kickboxing
P85
P16
Clinch Striking
P10
P52
Defensive Striking
P72
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P83
Wrestling
P30
P70
Pressure Wrestling
P33
P80
Top Control
P36
P61
Submission
P6
P63
Anti-Wrestling
P74
P81
Grappling Defense
P34
P28
Scrambler
P44
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P55
Power
P94
P63
Finisher
P67
P21
Damage Resistance
P97
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P87
Fast Starter
P81
P43
Pace
P52
P19
Late Fighter
P35
GLOBAL
P86
Versatility
P73
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
MagomedovOleksiejczuk
3.07Landed / min5.96
3.43Absorbed / min4.65
49%Accuracy53%
56%Defense58%
0.20KD / 151.31
0.60KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
MagomedovOleksiejczuk
2.61TD / 150.88
4.42TD att / 152.33
59%TD accuracy38%
100%TD defense53%
3:56Control / 151:40
0.40Sub att / 150.00
Targets
MagomedovOleksiejczuk
Head57%|69%
Body31%|27%
Leg13%|4%
Position
MagomedovOleksiejczuk
Distance86%|80%
Clinch3%|4%
Ground10%|16%
Ranking evolution Magomedov Oleksiejczuk
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Abus Magomedov
Magomedov owns the takedown defense to keep this standing and a 10cm reach advantage that lets him work from the outside. He carries a recent submission threat when exchanges hit the mat, and his all-organizations record sits at 28-7, with 3 wins in his last 5 UFC fights.
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Oleksiejczuk rides a three-fight win streak and has shown recent knockout power. His striking output has been climbing lately, and so has his ground control. Steady across recent outings, he returns after 4.6 months off with a 22-9 record and 3 wins in his last 5 UFC fights.
Matchup Read
At range, Magomedov's reach and ability to keep it standing let him meet Oleksiejczuk's rising volume on his own terms, though the southpaw's recent power means every exchange carries finishing risk. If the fight hits the floor, the phases split: Oleksiejczuk's climbing top control against Magomedov's submission threat off his back. The orthodox-southpaw mismatch reshapes the striking angles over three rounds.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Magomedov uses his length to keep Oleksiejczuk at the end of his punches or gets drawn into close-range power exchanges.
- Grappling: if it goes to the mat, watch whether Oleksiejczuk establishes top position or finds himself in Magomedov's guard submission attempts.
- Southpaw angles: how the crossed-stance geometry affects lead-hand exchanges and who lands the cleaner cross.