← UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Diego Ferreira vs Billy Quarantillo
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08-08
63.7%
Model
59.5%
Market
1.62
Odds
+4.2
Edge (pp)
established · 17 UFC fightsestablished · 17 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P85
Striking Initiative
P93
P92
Volume
P83
P25
Striking Efficiency
P85
P40
Range Sniper
P60
P23
Kickboxing
P51
P15
Clinch Striking
P90
P66
Defensive Striking
P1
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P24
Wrestling
P56
P24
Pressure Wrestling
P84
P22
Top Control
P61
P68
Submission
P61
P59
Anti-Wrestling
P20
P17
Grappling Defense
P27
P70
Scrambler
P63
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P29
Power
P42
P36
Finisher
P53
P25
Damage Resistance
P53
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P16
Fast Starter
P29
P72
Pace
P96
P78
Late Fighter
P16
GLOBAL
P20
Versatility
P45
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
FerreiraQuarantillo
4.70Landed / min7.04
3.46Absorbed / min5.87
40%Accuracy52%
56%Defense43%
0.27KD / 150.24
0.36KD abs / 150.37
Grappling / Wrestling
FerreiraQuarantillo
0.82TD / 151.59
2.73TD att / 156.24
30%TD accuracy25%
58%TD defense61%
1:46Control / 154:03
0.55Sub att / 151.10
Targets
FerreiraQuarantillo
Head71%|69%
Body22%|23%
Leg8%|8%
Position
FerreiraQuarantillo
Distance78%|66%
Clinch6%|17%
Ground16%|16%
Ranking evolution Ferreira Quarantillo
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Diego Ferreira
Diego Ferreira brings the physical frame to this one, with a 10 cm reach advantage and a gas tank that holds up deep into fights. His distance management and stand-up defense are reliable, and he's shown he can absorb punishment without folding. His last win came over the No. 28-ranked opponent.
Billy Quarantillo
Billy Quarantillo leans on output and forward pressure in the striking exchanges, and his grappling gives him routes to drag the fight down and work from top position. He's gone 2 of his last 5 in the UFC and last beat the No. 32-ranked opponent.
Matchup Read
Both men have split their recent five, so the read leans on tools. Quarantillo's pressure and takeover attempts run into Ferreira's length, striking defense and cardio. If Quarantillo closes the reach gap and gets it to the mat, his top control becomes the story. If Ferreira keeps it at range and drags it into the later minutes, his tank and frame start to matter more across three rounds.
What to Watch
- Range battle: whether Ferreira can use his 10 cm reach to keep Quarantillo from closing and pressuring inside.
- Grappling: how often Quarantillo gets level changes to land and whether he can hold top position once there.
- Late rounds: whether the pace holds up for Quarantillo deep into round three against Ferreira's cardio.
Key Uncertainty
Quarantillo comes in after nearly 20 months out, a long enough absence to note as a real question mark over how sharp his timing and pace look early.