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Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Ante Delija
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11-01
Waldo Cortes AcostaLow Data
vs Ante Delija
64.0%
Model
49.6%
Market
1.94
Odds
+14.4
Edge (pp)
established · 9 UFC fightsestablished · 9 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
STRIKING
P96
Striking Initiative
P100
P97
Volume
P99
P89
Striking Efficiency
P86
P76
Range Sniper
P92
P86
Kickboxing
P27
P3
Clinch Striking
P46
P66
Defensive Striking
P49
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P24
Wrestling
P29
P7
Pressure Wrestling
P0
P35
Top Control
P2
P20
Submission
P41
P41
Anti-Wrestling
P0
P74
Grappling Defense
P1
P7
Scrambler
P35
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P44
Power
P90
P18
Finisher
P49
P91
Damage Resistance
P39
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P32
Fast Starter
P47
P54
Pace
P49
P78
Late Fighter
—
GLOBAL
P66
Versatility
P24
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
AcostaDelija
5.42Landed / min6.34
3.49Absorbed / min1.95
48%Accuracy46%
56%Defense56%
0.25KD / 157.32
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
AcostaDelija
0.38TD / 150.00
0.76TD att / 150.00
50%TD accuracy—
71%TD defense—
1:29Control / 150:59
0.13Sub att / 150.00
Targets
AcostaDelija
Head71%|100%
Body15%|0%
Leg13%|0%
Position
AcostaDelija
Distance90%|69%
Clinch3%|0%
Ground7%|31%
Ranking evolution Acosta Delija
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Waldo Cortes Acosta comes in at 7-2 in the UFC, 14-2 overall, with four wins in his last five UFC outings. His most recent victory came over the No. 10-ranked opponent, and his lone recent loss was to the No. 5-ranked opponent, so he's been tested at the sharp end of the division and held his own against quality.
Ante Delija
Ante Delija arrives on a two-fight win streak and a deep 26-6 record across all organizations, having won his UFC debut. His most consistent threat is on the mat, where his finishing danger stands out, and he carries the greater ability to close a fight out before the judges get involved.
Matchup Read
Cortes Acosta brings the more proven résumé against ranked heavyweights, while Delija owns the sharper matchup-specific tools once the fight hits the mat and in the hunt for a stoppage. If Delija can drag exchanges to the floor, his ground finishing becomes the central danger, which gives Cortes Acosta clear incentive to keep this upright and force decisions on the feet, where his experience against top opposition matters most.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Delija can close distance and get the fight to the floor, or Cortes Acosta keeps it standing.
- Finishing: watch if Delija presses for a stoppage rather than letting exchanges reach the scorecards.
- Standing: how Cortes Acosta handles pace and exchanges against a heavyweight with a deep overall record.
Key Uncertainty
Delija has only one UFC fight on record, so how his ground game and finishing hold up against this level of Octagon competition is hard to read with confidence.