Winning bet Losing bet No bet · win No bet · loss
2025-11-01
+66.68%
ROI
+3.2u
Gain
80.0%
Accuracy
9
Fights
▼
Style Matchup
established · 8 UFC fightsestablished · 8 fights
STRIKING
P97
Striking Initiative
P77
P82
Volume
P71
P69
Striking Efficiency
P86
P65
Range Sniper
P91
P35
Kickboxing
P61
P5
Clinch Striking
P32
P83
Defensive Striking
P33
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P52
Wrestling
P36
P12
Pressure Wrestling
P55
P24
Top Control
P52
P19
Submission
P47
P15
Anti-Wrestling
P70
P58
Grappling Defense
P29
P81
Scrambler
P88
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P99
Power
P83
P74
Finisher
P55
P13
Damage Resistance
P84
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P80
Fast Starter
P61
P76
Pace
P70
P35
Late Fighter
P24
GLOBAL
P58
Versatility
P53
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
GarciaOnama
4.56Landed / min5.24
1.95Absorbed / min4.73
47%Accuracy51%
62%Defense52%
1.85KD / 150.62
1.32KD abs / 150.15
Grappling / Wrestling
GarciaOnama
1.06TD / 151.08
1.85TD att / 153.56
57%TD accuracy30%
79%TD defense53%
2:43Control / 153:05
0.53Sub att / 150.46
Targets
GarciaOnama
Head75%|80%
Body16%|12%
Leg9%|8%
Position
GarciaOnama
Distance63%|79%
Clinch3%|8%
Ground35%|13%
Ranking evolution Garcia Onama
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Steve Garcia
David Onama arrives on a 4-fight run, most recently beating the No. 13-ranked opponent, and sits at 6-2 in the UFC and 14-2 overall. His grappling is where he shows the most, with ground control that's been trending upward and a reliable knack for scrambling off his back and getting the fight back to the feet.
David Onama
Steve Garcia is 7-5 across all organizations reads 18-5, and he's won all five of his last five UFC outings. His striking volume has been rising, and he pairs that with a deep gas tank over the distance, sharper distance management and stand-up defense, plus the takedown defense to keep exchanges standing. His recent form has held steady without dips.
Matchup Read
Garcia brings the cleaner recent résumé and a 6-fight streak, but the technical split is clear: he'd rather keep this on the feet, where his rising volume, defensive footwork and takedown defense all point, while Onama's route runs through grappling. If Onama gets it down, his top control and the danger in scrambles come alive; if Garcia keeps it standing and the fight goes long, his cardio and output grow in value. The orthodox-southpaw look shifts the angles for both.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Onama can plant Garcia down and hold top position, or Garcia's takedown defense keeps it upright.
- Striking: Garcia's volume and distance control against Onama's pressure across the open-stance angles.
- Late rounds: if the fight stays standing and drags on, watch whether Garcia's gas tank starts dictating pace.
established · 9 UFC fightsestablished · 9 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
STRIKING
P96
Striking Initiative
P100
P97
Volume
P99
P89
Striking Efficiency
P86
P76
Range Sniper
P92
P86
Kickboxing
P27
P3
Clinch Striking
P46
P66
Defensive Striking
P49
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P24
Wrestling
P29
P7
Pressure Wrestling
P0
P35
Top Control
P2
P20
Submission
P41
P41
Anti-Wrestling
P0
P74
Grappling Defense
P1
P7
Scrambler
P35
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P44
Power
P90
P18
Finisher
P49
P91
Damage Resistance
P39
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P32
Fast Starter
P47
P54
Pace
P49
P78
Late Fighter
—
GLOBAL
P66
Versatility
P24
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
AcostaDelija
5.42Landed / min6.34
3.49Absorbed / min1.95
48%Accuracy46%
56%Defense56%
0.25KD / 157.32
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
AcostaDelija
0.38TD / 150.00
0.76TD att / 150.00
50%TD accuracy—
71%TD defense—
1:29Control / 150:59
0.13Sub att / 150.00
Targets
AcostaDelija
Head71%|100%
Body15%|0%
Leg13%|0%
Position
AcostaDelija
Distance90%|69%
Clinch3%|0%
Ground7%|31%
Ranking evolution Acosta Delija
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Waldo Cortes Acosta comes in at 7-2 in the UFC, 14-2 overall, with four wins in his last five UFC outings. His most recent victory came over the No. 10-ranked opponent, and his lone recent loss was to the No. 5-ranked opponent, so he's been tested at the sharp end of the division and held his own against quality.
Ante Delija
Ante Delija arrives on a two-fight win streak and a deep 26-6 record across all organizations, having won his UFC debut. His most consistent threat is on the mat, where his finishing danger stands out, and he carries the greater ability to close a fight out before the judges get involved.
Matchup Read
Cortes Acosta brings the more proven résumé against ranked heavyweights, while Delija owns the sharper matchup-specific tools once the fight hits the mat and in the hunt for a stoppage. If Delija can drag exchanges to the floor, his ground finishing becomes the central danger, which gives Cortes Acosta clear incentive to keep this upright and force decisions on the feet, where his experience against top opposition matters most.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Delija can close distance and get the fight to the floor, or Cortes Acosta keeps it standing.
- Finishing: watch if Delija presses for a stoppage rather than letting exchanges reach the scorecards.
- Standing: how Cortes Acosta handles pace and exchanges against a heavyweight with a deep overall record.
Key Uncertainty
Delija has only one UFC fight on record, so how his ground game and finishing hold up against this level of Octagon competition is hard to read with confidence.
limited sample · 6 UFC fightslimited · 6 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P55
Striking Initiative
P18
P14
Volume
P7
P55
Striking Efficiency
P3
P20
Range Sniper
P2
P34
Kickboxing
P0
P95
Clinch Striking
P18
P42
Defensive Striking
P21
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P97
Wrestling
P86
P100
Pressure Wrestling
P74
P96
Top Control
P98
P55
Submission
P60
P78
Anti-Wrestling
P42
P83
Grappling Defense
P63
P99
Scrambler
P35
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P40
Power
P76
P31
Finisher
P55
P62
Damage Resistance
P31
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P87
Fast Starter
P93
P93
Pace
P93
P24
Late Fighter
P8
GLOBAL
P89
Versatility
P20
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
GorimboWells
3.15Landed / min2.41
1.09Absorbed / min1.31
61%Accuracy43%
57%Defense49%
0.57KD / 150.56
0.00KD abs / 150.56
Grappling / Wrestling
GorimboWells
4.81TD / 153.08
7.36TD att / 157.00
65%TD accuracy44%
82%TD defense80%
9:17Control / 158:29
0.57Sub att / 150.84
Targets
GorimboWells
Head52%|85%
Body34%|15%
Leg14%|0%
Position
GorimboWells
Distance44%|50%
Clinch32%|4%
Ground24%|47%
Ranking evolution Gorimbo Wells
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Themba Gorimbo
Themba Gorimbo comes in 4-2 in the UFC and 14-5 overall, with wins in four of his last five. His striking has been sharpening lately, both in output and in the way he's controlling exchanges, and he can mix in level changes to drag opponents down. An 8cm reach edge gives him room to work at range.
Jeremiah Wells
Jeremiah Wells is 4-2 in the UFC and 12-4 across all organizations, carrying real finishing pop that lets him close fights before the scorecards. A switch-stance fighter, he last fought over 20 months ago.
Matchup Read
Gorimbo owns the more relevant recent résumé and the physical frame, but the sharper matchup-specific question is whether his rising striking and length keep Wells at the end of punches. If Gorimbo works behind his reach and threatens the takedown, he dictates where it happens. Wells' route is his finishing power, so any moment he closes distance or catches a scramble turns the fight quickly.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Gorimbo uses his 8cm reach to fight at range or lets Wells close into punching distance.
- Grappling: whether Gorimbo's level changes land and turn exchanges into top time.
- Danger windows: how Wells handles moments where he can load up with fight-ending power.
Key Uncertainty
Wells enters off more than 20 months out of competition, a long enough absence to leave a genuine question over how he performs in the early going here.
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
STRIKING
P70
Striking Initiative
P28
P13
Volume
P3
P70
Striking Efficiency
P23
P15
Range Sniper
P2
P52
Kickboxing
P1
P53
Clinch Striking
P23
P50
Defensive Striking
P14
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P60
Wrestling
P93
P96
Pressure Wrestling
P100
P100
Top Control
P98
P77
Submission
P66
P38
Anti-Wrestling
P45
P48
Grappling Defense
P61
P36
Scrambler
P37
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P7
Power
P31
P38
Finisher
P91
P39
Damage Resistance
P51
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P61
Fast Starter
P98
P77
Pace
P95
—
Late Fighter
P10
GLOBAL
P56
Versatility
P46
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
ValleDulgarian
3.10Landed / min3.37
1.03Absorbed / min1.82
75%Accuracy64%
70%Defense41%
0.00KD / 150.00
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
ValleDulgarian
5.17TD / 155.15
5.17TD att / 159.79
100%TD accuracy53%
—TD defense—
6:59Control / 1511:47
5.17Sub att / 152.06
Targets
ValleDulgarian
Head44%|92%
Body11%|2%
Leg44%|6%
Position
ValleDulgarian
Distance67%|19%
Clinch0%|1%
Ground33%|80%
Ranking evolution Valle Dulgarian
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Yadier del Valle
Yadier del Valle comes in unbeaten at 9-0, riding a nine-fight run and fresh off a winning UFC debut. His standing game leans on sharp distance control and reliable defensive work at range, backed by a durable chin. On the mat he's tough to hold down, working back to his feet from bottom position.
Isaac Dulgarian
Isaac Dulgarian, 7-1 overall and 2-1 in the UFC, brings a strong top game and heavy control once the fight hits the canvas. His most consistent threat is his ability to close the show before the judges get involved, giving his grappling real finishing weight.
Matchup Read
The early rounds tilt toward del Valle's range work and durability standing, while Dulgarian's finishing danger and top control make the fight most decisive if he drags it down. That sets the central battle: Dulgarian's push to grind from top position against del Valle's ability to scramble up and reset. If del Valle keeps returning to his feet, the striking exchanges favor him; if Dulgarian pins him and stays busy, his stoppage threat grows.
What to Watch
- Grappling exchanges: whether del Valle can consistently work back to his feet or Dulgarian anchors him on the mat.
- Standing phase: how del Valle uses his height and range to keep the fight at distance, with Dulgarian's reach cutting the other way.
- Finishing windows: whether Dulgarian can force the ground positions where his stoppage threat lives.
Key Uncertainty
Reading this cleanly is limited by del Valle having just one UFC fight on record and Dulgarian coming off a layoff of nearly 14 months since his last bout.
limited sample · 5 UFC fightslimited · 5 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
STRIKING
P31
Striking Initiative
P96
P20
Volume
P99
P74
Striking Efficiency
P43
P67
Range Sniper
P72
P80
Kickboxing
P66
P41
Clinch Striking
P58
P35
Defensive Striking
P72
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P20
Wrestling
P29
P74
Pressure Wrestling
P0
P97
Top Control
P0
P19
Submission
P0
P64
Anti-Wrestling
P20
P89
Grappling Defense
P26
P32
Scrambler
P36
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P86
Power
P39
P53
Finisher
P58
P16
Damage Resistance
P29
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P43
Fast Starter
P7
P47
Pace
P12
P35
Late Fighter
—
GLOBAL
P71
Versatility
P13
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
RadtkeFrunza
3.11Landed / min8.60
3.66Absorbed / min8.60
49%Accuracy37%
52%Defense61%
0.97KD / 150.00
0.97KD abs / 159.00
Grappling / Wrestling
RadtkeFrunza
0.49TD / 150.00
3.89TD att / 150.00
13%TD accuracy—
100%TD defense—
4:58Control / 150:00
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
RadtkeFrunza
Head79%|72%
Body7%|7%
Leg14%|21%
Position
RadtkeFrunza
Distance86%|86%
Clinch10%|14%
Ground3%|0%
Ranking evolution Radtke Frunza
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Charles Radtke
Radtke brings the sharper stand-up defense and cleaner work at range, backed by a granite chin that lets him weather exchanges. His recent run carries real knockout power and finishing momentum, going 3/5 in the UFC against lower-ranked opposition.
Daniel Frunza
Frunza works behind volume and forward pressure on the feet, and at 10 cm taller he owns a length advantage to fight behind. His stand-up defense has been trending upward recently. He dropped his UFC debut and holds a 9-3 mark across all organizations.
Matchup Read
Frunza's early answer is output and pressure, trying to bank rounds with volume before Radtke settles. But the longer it goes, the more Radtke's power and finishing threat weigh in, especially against an opponent who has recently been stopped. Radtke's distance management and durability let him absorb the pace and look for the counter. If Frunza's height and forward volume don't keep Radtke off balance, single clean shots can flip it.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Frunza's pressure and length keep Radtke pinned at the end of his shots or Radtke slips inside to counter.
- Durability test: how Frunza's chin holds when Radtke starts loading up on power shots.
- Late rounds: whether Frunza's volume stays sharp or Radtke's finishing threat grows as the pace drops.
Key Uncertainty
Frunza has only one UFC appearance to read from, so how his pressure and improving defense translate against this level of power remains hard to gauge.
provisional · 4 UFC fightsprovisional · 4 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P7
Striking Initiative
P26
P5
Volume
P27
P21
Striking Efficiency
P42
P2
Range Sniper
P34
P38
Kickboxing
P43
P35
Clinch Striking
P13
P54
Defensive Striking
P18
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P53
Wrestling
P99
P66
Pressure Wrestling
P93
P69
Top Control
P93
P94
Submission
P61
P23
Anti-Wrestling
P36
P4
Grappling Defense
P67
P100
Scrambler
P30
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P2
Power
P30
P64
Finisher
P53
P53
Damage Resistance
P24
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P49
Fast Starter
P89
P53
Pace
P84
P11
Late Fighter
P56
GLOBAL
P25
Versatility
P79
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
NascimentoDurden
1.28Landed / min3.59
0.89Absorbed / min4.34
50%Accuracy45%
59%Defense51%
0.00KD / 150.14
0.00KD abs / 150.55
Grappling / Wrestling
NascimentoDurden
1.55TD / 154.43
4.66TD att / 158.02
33%TD accuracy55%
33%TD defense79%
5:57Control / 156:15
1.24Sub att / 150.69
Targets
NascimentoDurden
Head40%|75%
Body26%|13%
Leg34%|12%
Position
NascimentoDurden
Distance63%|83%
Clinch5%|4%
Ground32%|13%
Ranking evolution Nascimento Durden
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Allan Nascimento
Allan Nascimento rides a three-fight win streak and sits 3-1 in the UFC, 21-6 overall, having taken three of his last four. His stand-up shows sharp distance management and clean defensive work, with that defense trending upward recently. He soaks up damage well and has avoided a recent stoppage loss.
Cody Durden
Cody Durden's strength lies in the grappling. He gets the fight to the mat when he wants it and defends takedowns to keep exchanges where he prefers. He's 6-6 in the UFC and 17-8 overall, having won just one of his last five UFC outings, most recently over lower-ranked opposition.
Matchup Read
Nascimento's recent form and durability meet Durden's sharper matchup-specific grappling tools. Durden's route runs through changing levels and grinding from top, and his own takedown defense means Nascimento can't easily reverse the phase. Nascimento's counter is keeping it standing, where his distance work and 5 cm of reach, sharpened by the orthodox-southpaw angles, let him pick from range. The tension is simple: whoever dictates whether this stays on the feet or hits the mat shapes the fight.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Durden's level changes land or Nascimento defends and forces the fight back upright.
- Early striking: how Nascimento uses his reach and the crossed-stance angles to keep distance and land clean.
- Damage absorption: whether Nascimento's chin holds up if Durden does get top position and starts working.
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
Style Matchup
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
STRIKING
P2
Striking Initiative
P3
Volume
P73
Striking Efficiency
P41
Range Sniper
P59
Kickboxing
P28
Clinch Striking
P32
Defensive Striking
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P28
Wrestling
P16
Pressure Wrestling
P55
Top Control
P10
Submission
P54
Anti-Wrestling
P41
Grappling Defense
P34
Scrambler
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P9
Power
P13
Finisher
P51
Damage Resistance
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P47
Fast Starter
P2
Pace
P59
Late Fighter
GLOBAL
P36
Versatility
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
ElekanaChristian
2.34Landed / min—
3.18Absorbed / min—
57%Accuracy—
50%Defense—
0.00KD / 15—
0.00KD abs / 15—
Grappling / Wrestling
ElekanaChristian
0.64TD / 15—
2.55TD att / 15—
25%TD accuracy—
—TD defense—
2:20Control / 15—
0.00Sub att / 15—
Targets
ElekanaChristian
Head65%|—
Body35%|—
Leg0%|—
Position
ElekanaChristian
Distance87%|—
Clinch0%|—
Ground13%|—
Ranking evolution Elekana Christian
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Billy Elekana
Billy Elekana sits at 8-2 overall and 1-1 in the UFC, coming off a win over lower-ranked opposition, with his lone recent loss against the No. 17-ranked opponent. Fighting from a southpaw stance, his exposure to that level of competition is the most notable point in his favor here.
Kevin Christian
Kevin Christian enters on a six-fight win streak at 9-2 across all organizations, though his recent bouts came against modest regional opposition. He carries real finishing power, with a pronounced threat to end fights on the ground, and brings a physical package of eight centimeters of reach and ten of height into this debut.
Matchup Read
Christian's danger is front-loaded: his finishing ability, especially on the ground, is where the fight can end early, and his frame and eight-centimeter reach let him work behind range from orthodox against Elekana's southpaw. That puts the burden on Elekana to weather the early stopping threat and manage the length. If he keeps exchanges clean and drags Christian into deeper water, the untested regional level of that streak becomes the question the later rounds put to it.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Christian uses his reach and height to control range from orthodox, or Elekana closes the gap.
- Ground exchanges: any scramble that hits the mat tests Christian's finishing threat against Elekana's ability to survive.
- Late rounds: watch how Christian's pace holds if the fight passes the point his regional streak rarely reached.
Key Uncertainty
Reading this is limited on both sides: Elekana has just two UFC fights on record, while Christian arrives on a debut with no UFC history against which to gauge his level of opposition.
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
STRIKING
P14
Striking Initiative
P90
P24
Volume
P60
P49
Striking Efficiency
P77
P71
Range Sniper
P32
P49
Kickboxing
P15
P38
Clinch Striking
P95
P78
Defensive Striking
P11
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P52
Wrestling
P67
P74
Pressure Wrestling
P74
P42
Top Control
P58
P2
Submission
P25
P29
Anti-Wrestling
P42
P62
Grappling Defense
P7
P32
Scrambler
P93
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P77
Power
P31
P37
Finisher
P45
P48
Damage Resistance
P51
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P0
Fast Starter
P92
P20
Pace
P95
P69
Late Fighter
P41
GLOBAL
P48
Versatility
P32
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
CuambaLee
3.21Landed / min5.38
4.24Absorbed / min3.32
46%Accuracy66%
60%Defense38%
0.39KD / 150.00
0.39KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
CuambaLee
1.54TD / 152.52
5.78TD att / 158.19
27%TD accuracy31%
75%TD defense50%
1:42Control / 154:41
0.00Sub att / 150.63
Targets
CuambaLee
Head64%|55%
Body22%|44%
Leg14%|2%
Position
CuambaLee
Distance82%|20%
Clinch6%|52%
Ground11%|29%
Ranking evolution Cuamba Lee
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Timmy Cuamba
Timmy Cuamba, 9-3 overall but 1-2 in the UFC, brings the sharper distance management and stand-up defense to this one, backed by a five-centimeter reach edge to work behind. He tends to keep exchanges standing, defends takedowns well, and holds up under fire when hit.
ChangHo Lee
ChangHo Lee, 11-1 across all organizations and 2-0 in the UFC, rides a five-fight win streak. He pushes a higher-volume, more pressuring pace on the feet, works effectively from top position once the fight hits the mat, and carries the greater threat to end things before the judges.
Matchup Read
Lee carries the early pressure and finishing danger, while Cuamba's length and stand-up defense grow in value the longer he keeps the fight at range. The central tension is on the mat: Lee wants top control and the finish, but Cuamba's takedown defense is built to deny it. If Cuamba stuffs entries and manages distance behind his reach, this stays a striking match where his defense meets Lee's volume.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Lee's forward pressure and output overwhelm Cuamba's range game or get picked apart at distance.
- Grappling: how often Lee changes levels, and whether Cuamba's takedown defense keeps it standing or he ends up under top control.
- Late rounds: if Cuamba absorbs the early pace without damage, whether his durability lets him settle in as Lee's finishing window closes.
Key Uncertainty
Lee's ceiling is hard to fix with only two UFC fights on record, so how his pressure and top game translate against this level of opposition remains partly untested.
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
Style Matchup
limited sample · 6 UFC fightslimited · 6 fights
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P6
Volume
P3
Striking Efficiency
P12
Range Sniper
P8
Kickboxing
P28
Clinch Striking
P19
Defensive Striking
P48
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P34
Pressure Wrestling
P53
Top Control
P79
Submission
P17
Anti-Wrestling
P78
Grappling Defense
P26
Scrambler
P93
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P15
Finisher
P25
Damage Resistance
P17
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P56
Pace
P25
Late Fighter
P72
GLOBAL
Versatility
P17
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
JohnsonDumas
—Landed / min2.10
—Absorbed / min2.52
—Accuracy45%
—Defense56%
—KD / 150.00
—KD abs / 150.51
Grappling / Wrestling
JohnsonDumas
—TD / 151.01
—TD att / 153.30
—TD accuracy31%
—TD defense40%
—Control / 155:26
—Sub att / 150.00
Targets
JohnsonDumas
Head—|49%
Body—|16%
Leg—|35%
Position
JohnsonDumas
Distance—|78%
Clinch—|2%
Ground—|19%
Ranking evolution Johnson Dumas
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Donte Johnson
Donte Johnson arrives unbeaten at 6-0, riding a six-fight win streak against modest regional opposition. His most consistent asset is a knack for closing the show before the scorecards, and he hasn't been on the wrong end of a recent knockout or submission. He fights from a southpaw stance.
Sedriques Dumas
Sedriques Dumas brings the more tested résumé at 11-3 overall and 3-3 in the UFC, with slightly more exposure to higher-level competition. He owns a meaningful physical edge, standing 15 cm taller with 13 cm more reach, and carries a bit of finishing threat once the fight hits the mat.
Matchup Read
Dumas brings the UFC-tested experience and the frame, but Johnson owns the sharper matchup-specific tool in his finishing ability. The crossed stances and Dumas's length reshape the range: if he uses that reach to keep Johnson at the end of his punches, he dictates where exchanges happen. Johnson's job is to close distance and turn the fight into the kind of exchanges where his finishing instinct lives, while staying wary of Dumas's threat off the mat.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Johnson can breach Dumas's 13 cm reach advantage and get inside, or gets kept pinned at the end of the jab.
- Grappling: if the fight hits the mat, watch whether Dumas can convert his ground finishing threat before Johnson works back up.
- Southpaw-orthodox angles: who wins the lead-foot battle and lands the cleaner power shot in the open-stance exchanges.
Key Uncertainty
Johnson is making his UFC debut with no promotional history, so his six-fight streak came against modest regional opposition, leaving his level against this caliber of competition genuinely untested.

















