FIGHTintelligence
UFC predictions & fighter analytics
← UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama

Yadier del Valle vs Isaac Dulgarian

AIThe early rounds tilt toward del Valle's range work and durability standing, while Dulgarian's finishing dan…
60.2%
Model
31.0%
Market
3.11
Odds
+29.2
Edge (pp)
Pace · Top Control · Wrestling Pressure
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
Style Matchup
Wrestling Pressure · Wrestling
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
STRIKING
P70
Striking Initiative
P28
P13
Volume
P3
P70
Striking Efficiency
P23
P15
Range Sniper
P2
P52
Kickboxing
P1
P53
Clinch Striking
P23
P50
Defensive Striking
P14
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P60
Wrestling
P93
P96
Pressure Wrestling
P100
P100
Top Control
P98
P77
Submission
P66
P38
Anti-Wrestling
P45
P48
Grappling Defense
P61
P36
Scrambler
P37
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P7
Power
P31
P38
Finisher
P91
P39
Damage Resistance
P51
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P61
Fast Starter
P98
P77
Pace
P95
—
Late Fighter
P10
GLOBAL
P56
Versatility
P46
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
ValleDulgarian
3.10Landed / min3.37
1.03Absorbed / min1.82
75%Accuracy64%
70%Defense41%
0.00KD / 150.00
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
ValleDulgarian
5.17TD / 155.15
5.17TD att / 159.79
100%TD accuracy53%
—TD defense—
6:59Control / 1511:47
5.17Sub att / 152.06
Targets
ValleDulgarian
Head44%|92%
Body11%|2%
Leg44%|6%
Position
ValleDulgarian
Distance67%|19%
Clinch0%|1%
Ground33%|80%
Ranking evolution Valle Dulgarian
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Yadier del Valle
Yadier del Valle comes in unbeaten at 9-0, riding a nine-fight run and fresh off a winning UFC debut. His standing game leans on sharp distance control and reliable defensive work at range, backed by a durable chin. On the mat he's tough to hold down, working back to his feet from bottom position.
Isaac Dulgarian
Isaac Dulgarian, 7-1 overall and 2-1 in the UFC, brings a strong top game and heavy control once the fight hits the canvas. His most consistent threat is his ability to close the show before the judges get involved, giving his grappling real finishing weight.
Matchup Read
The early rounds tilt toward del Valle's range work and durability standing, while Dulgarian's finishing danger and top control make the fight most decisive if he drags it down. That sets the central battle: Dulgarian's push to grind from top position against del Valle's ability to scramble up and reset. If del Valle keeps returning to his feet, the striking exchanges favor him; if Dulgarian pins him and stays busy, his stoppage threat grows.
What to Watch
  • Grappling exchanges: whether del Valle can consistently work back to his feet or Dulgarian anchors him on the mat.
  • Standing phase: how del Valle uses his height and range to keep the fight at distance, with Dulgarian's reach cutting the other way.
  • Finishing windows: whether Dulgarian can force the ground positions where his stoppage threat lives.
Key Uncertainty
Reading this cleanly is limited by del Valle having just one UFC fight on record and Dulgarian coming off a layoff of nearly 14 months since his last bout.