← UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Gauge Young vs Stan Dorsainvil
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08-22
Gauge YoungLow Data
71.8%
Model
54.8%
Market
1.76
Odds
+17.1
Edge (pp)
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
Style Matchup
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
STRIKING
P98
Striking Initiative
P98
Volume
P94
Striking Efficiency
P85
Range Sniper
P98
Kickboxing
P13
Clinch Striking
P33
Defensive Striking
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P42
Wrestling
P30
Pressure Wrestling
P49
Top Control
P9
Submission
P84
Anti-Wrestling
P83
Grappling Defense
P44
Scrambler
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P67
Power
P30
Finisher
P70
Damage Resistance
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P9
Fast Starter
P68
Pace
P91
Late Fighter
GLOBAL
P67
Versatility
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
YoungDorsainvil
7.00Landed / min—
5.02Absorbed / min—
52%Accuracy—
51%Defense—
0.33KD / 15—
0.00KD abs / 15—
Grappling / Wrestling
YoungDorsainvil
1.00TD / 15—
2.33TD att / 15—
43%TD accuracy—
92%TD defense—
1:40Control / 15—
0.00Sub att / 15—
Targets
YoungDorsainvil
Head50%|—
Body26%|—
Leg23%|—
Position
YoungDorsainvil
Distance95%|—
Clinch3%|—
Ground2%|—
Ranking evolution Young Dorsainvil
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Gauge Young
Gauge Young comes in on a two-fight win streak and sits 2-1 in the UFC, 11-3 overall, with two wins in his last three Octagon trips. His most consistent asset here is having faced and performed against a tougher class of opposition than his opponent has met. He last fought 4.1 months ago.
Stan Dorsainvil
Stan Dorsainvil arrives unbeaten at 5-0 across all organizations, carrying a five-fight win streak into his UFC debut. His calling cards are his submission threat and his overall ability to finish fights before the scorecards get involved, making him a danger to close the show in either phase.
Matchup Read
Dorsainvil carries the early finishing danger, especially off his back or from top position where his submission threat lives, while Young's value grows the longer this stays competitive and gets measured against the better opponents he's shared a cage with. If Young keeps exchanges standing and drags Dorsainvil into the later part of three rounds, the edge shifts toward tested experience. If it hits the mat, Dorsainvil's finishing becomes the central question.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Dorsainvil can get the fight to the floor and hunt the submissions that have ended his previous bouts.
- Debut composure: how Dorsainvil handles his first Octagon outing against a man with proven UFC-level reps.
- Late rounds: whether Young can push the fight deep and lean on his experience against stiffer competition.
Key Uncertainty
Dorsainvil enters on a UFC debut with no Octagon history to draw on, so how his finishing translates against this level of opposition remains the main unknown in reading the fight.

