← UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Lerryan Douglas vs Jamall Emmers
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08-22
Lerryan DouglasLow Data
59.8%
Model
75.2%
Market
1.28
Odds
-15.5
Edge (pp)
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
Style Matchup
established · 9 UFC fightsestablished · 9 fights
STRIKING
P99
Striking Initiative
P71
P95
Volume
P64
P100
Striking Efficiency
P50
P99
Range Sniper
P55
P99
Kickboxing
P47
P47
Clinch Striking
P57
P64
Defensive Striking
P72
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P29
Wrestling
P87
P0
Pressure Wrestling
P98
P33
Top Control
P96
P27
Submission
P33
P41
Anti-Wrestling
P98
P51
Grappling Defense
P92
P35
Scrambler
P82
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P98
Power
P65
P57
Finisher
P21
P40
Damage Resistance
P58
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P51
Fast Starter
P83
P22
Pace
P92
—
Late Fighter
P12
GLOBAL
P50
Versatility
P96
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
DouglasEmmers
8.17Landed / min4.88
4.79Absorbed / min3.57
60%Accuracy47%
63%Defense59%
8.45KD / 150.52
0.00KD abs / 150.17
Grappling / Wrestling
DouglasEmmers
0.00TD / 152.77
0.00TD att / 155.20
—TD accuracy53%
—TD defense80%
0:21Control / 154:43
0.00Sub att / 150.35
Targets
DouglasEmmers
Head62%|57%
Body10%|31%
Leg28%|13%
Position
DouglasEmmers
Distance86%|80%
Clinch7%|11%
Ground7%|9%
Ranking evolution Douglas Emmers
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Lerryan Douglas
Lerryan Douglas comes in on a 6-fight win streak with his UFC debut win banked, and his pressure-heavy striking output stands out. Recent finishing form and knockout power back that up, with his volume trending upward. At 14-5 across all organizations, his momentum is real.
Jamall Emmers
Jamall Emmers, 22-7 overall and 5-4 in the UFC with wins in 3 of his last 5, is hard to keep down: his ability to scramble off his back and get up is his most reliable tool here. He carries a 5 cm reach advantage and a slightly larger frame.
Matchup Read
Douglas carries the earlier finishing danger, with his forward pressure and power the central threat over three rounds; Emmers' value grows the longer he can neutralize it. If Douglas walks him down and loads up, Emmers' getting-up ability matters most as a defensive counter, not to reverse position but to reset back to range, where his extra reach lets him fight at distance. Whether Douglas can cut off that space decides where this plays out.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Douglas closes distance and lands power before Emmers can establish range behind his reach.
- Grappling: if the fight hits the mat, how quickly Emmers scrambles back to his feet rather than getting held down.
- Late rounds: whether Douglas' pressure and volume hold up or Emmers steadies the pace at distance.
Key Uncertainty
With only a single UFC fight on Douglas' record, his level against this tier of opposition is thinly established, which limits how firmly his recent momentum can be read against Emmers' longer Octagon sample.