← UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Edgar Chairez vs Felipe Bunes
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02-28
59.3%
Model
73.0%
Market
1.32
Odds
-13.7
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
STRIKING
P16
Striking Initiative
P6
P58
Volume
P19
P68
Striking Efficiency
P91
P97
Range Sniper
P84
P86
Kickboxing
P98
P20
Clinch Striking
P26
P2
Defensive Striking
P13
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P8
Wrestling
P40
P8
Pressure Wrestling
P38
P2
Top Control
P7
P93
Submission
P94
P19
Anti-Wrestling
P1
P3
Grappling Defense
P1
P48
Scrambler
P32
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P50
Power
P3
P94
Finisher
P68
P72
Damage Resistance
P31
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P23
Fast Starter
P3
P2
Pace
P5
P25
Late Fighter
P23
GLOBAL
P14
Versatility
P36
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
ChairezBunes
3.48Landed / min2.93
5.43Absorbed / min4.66
45%Accuracy51%
39%Defense45%
0.43KD / 150.00
0.00KD abs / 150.56
Grappling / Wrestling
ChairezBunes
0.00TD / 151.13
0.86TD att / 155.08
0%TD accuracy22%
14%TD defense40%
0:29Control / 151:17
2.16Sub att / 152.26
Targets
ChairezBunes
Head60%|59%
Body16%|21%
Leg25%|21%
Position
ChairezBunes
Distance97%|97%
Clinch2%|3%
Ground1%|0%
Ranking evolution Chairez Bunes
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Edgar Chairez
Edgar Chairez comes in on a one-fight win streak with a 2-2 UFC mark and 12-6 overall. His striking output has been climbing lately, and he pairs that with sound distance work behind a five-centimeter reach advantage, a durable chin, and the ability to close a fight before the judges get involved. His recent form has held steady rather than slipped.
Felipe Bunes
Felipe Bunes sits at 1-2 in the UFC and 14-8 across all organizations. His defensive game has tightened up recently, and his most useful tool for this matchup is the ability to stuff takedowns and force the action to stay on the feet.
Matchup Read
On the feet, Chairez's rising volume, reach, and cleaner distance management shape the striking, while Bunes' improved defense and takedown stuffing point toward keeping things standing rather than being dragged into a grappling war. If Bunes wins the battle to stay upright, this becomes a striking contest where Chairez's output and finishing threat matter most. His chin also lets him trade without folding. Bunes needs his sharpened defense to blunt that pressure.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Chairez uses his reach to establish range or Bunes closes distance to neutralize it
- Grappling: how often the fight hits the mat, and whether Bunes' takedown defense keeps it standing
- Late rounds: whether Chairez's climbing volume compounds or Bunes' tighter defense holds up over the distance