← UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Javier Reyes vs Douglas Silva de Andrade
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02-28
Javier ReyesLow Data
65.8%
Model
66.8%
Market
1.44
Odds
-1.1
Edge (pp)
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
Style Matchup
established · 13 UFC fightsestablished · 13 fights
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P34
Volume
P71
Striking Efficiency
P13
Range Sniper
P64
Kickboxing
P41
Clinch Striking
P12
Defensive Striking
P79
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P23
Pressure Wrestling
P12
Top Control
P19
Submission
P35
Anti-Wrestling
P80
Grappling Defense
P73
Scrambler
P36
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P91
Finisher
P72
Damage Resistance
P75
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P23
Pace
P16
Late Fighter
P69
GLOBAL
Versatility
P14
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
ReyesAndrade
—Landed / min3.54
—Absorbed / min3.93
—Accuracy38%
—Defense58%
—KD / 150.55
—KD abs / 150.18
Grappling / Wrestling
ReyesAndrade
—TD / 150.55
—TD att / 151.29
—TD accuracy43%
—TD defense73%
—Control / 150:53
—Sub att / 150.18
Targets
ReyesAndrade
Head—|52%
Body—|23%
Leg—|24%
Position
ReyesAndrade
Distance—|92%
Clinch—|6%
Ground—|2%
Ranking evolution Reyes Andrade
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Javier Reyes
Javier Reyes arrives on a two-fight win streak with a 22-5 record built against modest regional opposition, making his UFC debut. His main asset here is a real finishing threat once the fight hits the mat, and he carries a 13 cm reach advantage that gives him length to work behind.
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Douglas Silva de Andrade brings a 29-6 mark overall and a 7-6 UFC run, winning 3 of his last 5 in the promotion. His clearest edge is the level of competition he's faced, having tested himself against ranked opposition. He returns after 20.5 months out of action.
Matchup Read
Reyes owns the more immediate danger if he can drag this to the floor, where his ground finishing threat becomes the central concern for de Andrade. His length should help him manage range early and set up entries. De Andrade's value builds the longer things stay competitive, leaning on his experience against sharper opposition to weather early pressure and stay in exchanges he's seen before. The fight tilts on whether Reyes converts his reach and grappling before de Andrade's tested composure takes over.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Reyes can close his length into takedown entries and threaten submissions once the fight hits the mat.
- Early range: whether the 13 cm reach lets Reyes control distance before de Andrade closes the gap.
- As the fight wears on: how sharp de Andrade looks after 20.5 months out against a debutant's pace.
Key Uncertainty
Reyes has no UFC history to read against, and de Andrade returns from 20.5 months out, so how each performs at this level right now is hard to project confidently.