AIBorjas's length meets Rodriguez's push to make it a grappling fight. If Borjas keeps range and uses his reac…

53.4%

Model

21.9%

Market

4.38

Odds

+31.4

Edge (pp)

Kevin Borjas

53.4%46.6%

Imanol Rodriguez

KO/TKO

POWER STRIKER

Power

provisional · 4 UFC fightsprovisional · 4 fights

Style Matchup

No UFC data yet

UFC debut · style profile after first fight

STRIKING

P16

Striking Initiative

P45

Volume

P61

Striking Efficiency

P86

Range Sniper

P70

Kickboxing

P28

Clinch Striking

P23

Defensive Striking

GRAPPLING / WRESTLING

Wrestling

P25

Pressure Wrestling

P37

Top Control

Submission

P88

Anti-Wrestling

P79

Grappling Defense

P44

Scrambler

DAMAGE / FINISHING

P78

Power

P62

Finisher

P51

Damage Resistance

FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill

P12

Fast Starter

Pace

P82

Late Fighter

GLOBAL

P20

Versatility

Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.

Striking

BorjasRodriguez

3.72Landed / min—

6.57Absorbed / min—

44%Accuracy—

49%Defense—

0.29KD / 15—

0.29KD abs / 15—

Grappling / Wrestling

BorjasRodriguez

0.00TD / 15—

2.91TD att / 15—

0%TD accuracy—

81%TD defense—

1:07Control / 15—

0.00Sub att / 15—

Targets

Position

Ranking evolution Borjas Rodriguez

AI Matchup Analysis

Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.

Kevin Borjas

Kevin Borjas carries a 10-4 mark across all organizations, with a 10 cm reach advantage and a frame that lets him work from range. His UFC run sits at 1-3, but he's been in with sterner competition, including a win over the No. 43-ranked opponent.

Imanol Rodriguez

Imanol Rodriguez enters on a win streak at 6-2 overall, making his UFC debut. His most meaningful threat is on the ground, where he carries some finishing danger, and he's shown the ability to close out fights before the judges.

Matchup Read

Borjas's length meets Rodriguez's push to make it a grappling fight. If Borjas keeps range and uses his reach to control distance, he keeps Rodriguez out of the exchanges where the debutant's submission threat lives. Should Rodriguez close the gap and drag it to the mat, his finishing danger on the ground becomes the central concern. Borjas's exposure to tougher opposition may matter across the sharper moments.

What to Watch

Early striking: whether Borjas uses his reach to keep Rodriguez at the end of his punches and off his takedown entries.
Grappling: if the fight hits the mat, watch how quickly Rodriguez hunts for submissions versus Borjas working back to his feet.
Finishing windows: whether Rodriguez can force a scramble or exchange where his ability to end it early comes into play.

Key Uncertainty

Rodriguez is stepping into the UFC for the first time with no prior showing at this level, so how his ground threat holds up against sterner competition remains an open question.

Kevin Borjas vs Imanol Rodriguez