← UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Santiago Luna vs Angel Pacheco
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02-28
Santiago LunaLow Data
91.1%
Model
80.3%
Market
1.20
Odds
+10.8
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
STRIKING
P82
Striking Initiative
P71
P67
Volume
P92
P22
Striking Efficiency
P39
P34
Range Sniper
P66
P11
Kickboxing
P74
P72
Clinch Striking
P59
P40
Defensive Striking
P29
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P31
Wrestling
P29
P82
Pressure Wrestling
P0
P92
Top Control
P0
P54
Submission
P17
P42
Anti-Wrestling
P5
P52
Grappling Defense
P4
P35
Scrambler
P34
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P98
Power
P34
P68
Finisher
P69
P39
Damage Resistance
P53
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P21
Fast Starter
P10
P97
Pace
P5
—
Late Fighter
P9
GLOBAL
P29
Versatility
P10
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
LunaPacheco
5.36Landed / min5.87
4.29Absorbed / min9.33
38%Accuracy38%
50%Defense48%
10.71KD / 150.00
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
LunaPacheco
0.00TD / 150.00
5.36TD att / 150.00
0%TD accuracy—
100%TD defense25%
4:12Control / 150:09
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
LunaPacheco
Head87%|50%
Body7%|36%
Leg7%|14%
Position
LunaPacheco
Distance60%|91%
Clinch20%|9%
Ground20%|0%
Ranking evolution Luna Pacheco
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Santiago Luna
Santiago Luna comes in a perfect 7-0 across all organizations, riding a seven-fight win streak and coming off a win in his UFC debut. He works well at range with sharp stand-up defense, defends takedowns to keep things upright, and carries real finishing threat both on the ground and overall. Durable, with a granite chin and a reach advantage to lean on.
Angel Pacheco
Angel Pacheco sits at 8-3 across all organizations, though he dropped his UFC debut and has been out of action for 23 months. His recent wins and his last loss both came against modest regional opposition, so his form against higher-level competition is thin.
Matchup Read
Standing, this leans toward Luna: his range work and 10 cm reach let him fight in open space, and his takedown defense means Pacheco can't easily drag him out of it. If the fight does hit the mat, Luna's submission threat becomes the central danger rather than a safe harbor. Pacheco needs to close distance and score control, but every phase Luna is strong in sits directly in his path.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Pacheco can bridge the reach gap and get inside Luna's jab, or gets kept at the end of punches.
- Grappling: if Pacheco shoots, watch whether Luna stuffs it and forces the fight back to the feet.
- Ground exchanges: should it hit the mat, watch for Luna hunting the finish rather than Pacheco settling into control.
Key Uncertainty
Both men carry a single UFC fight on their record, and Pacheco adds a 23-month layoff, so how either performs against this level of opposition remains hard to read with confidence.