← UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Sean Woodson vs Jack Jenkins
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08-29
69.4%
Model
58.3%
Market
1.65
Odds
+11.1
Edge (pp)
established · 9 UFC fightsestablished · 9 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P100
Striking Initiative
P65
P99
Volume
P53
P88
Striking Efficiency
P95
P83
Range Sniper
P93
P93
Kickboxing
P91
P23
Clinch Striking
P60
P92
Defensive Striking
P72
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P39
Wrestling
P63
P19
Pressure Wrestling
P54
P25
Top Control
P52
P22
Submission
P31
P20
Anti-Wrestling
P7
P68
Grappling Defense
P30
P6
Scrambler
P27
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P46
Power
P73
P5
Finisher
P31
P73
Damage Resistance
P64
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P83
Fast Starter
P83
P55
Pace
P40
P8
Late Fighter
P2
GLOBAL
P76
Versatility
P83
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
WoodsonJenkins
5.98Landed / min4.64
4.11Absorbed / min3.29
47%Accuracy60%
61%Defense58%
0.42KD / 150.59
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
WoodsonJenkins
0.69TD / 151.57
1.25TD att / 152.76
56%TD accuracy57%
87%TD defense70%
1:17Control / 153:02
0.28Sub att / 150.20
Targets
WoodsonJenkins
Head71%|51%
Body14%|24%
Leg15%|24%
Position
WoodsonJenkins
Distance93%|77%
Clinch6%|10%
Ground1%|13%
Ranking evolution Woodson Jenkins
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Sean Woodson
Sean Woodson stands at 7-2 in the UFC and 13-2 overall, with a long, rangy frame that lets him fight behind volume and pressure while managing distance and defending on the feet. His ground control has been trending upward lately, and he's tested himself against stiffer competition.
Jack Jenkins
Jack Jenkins comes in at 4-2 in the UFC, 14-4 across all organizations, working from a switch stance that lets him change looks. His most concrete strength here is top control once the fight hits the mat.
Matchup Read
Early, the space belongs to Woodson: 25 cm of reach and 18 of height let him fire volume from range while managing distance and threatening to keep it standing. Jenkins' route runs the other way, closing that gap to change levels and get on top, where his control is the more meaningful tool. If he can't reach the mat, the exchanges stay in Woodson's wheelhouse over three rounds. The fight tilts on whether Jenkins can shrink the distance.
What to Watch
- Distance: whether Jenkins can close through the reach and height gap to change levels, or gets kept at the end of Woodson's strikes.
- Grappling: once it hits the mat, whether Jenkins establishes and holds his top control before Woodson resets to the feet.
- Late rounds: whether Woodson's volume compounds across three rounds if the fight stays standing.
Key Uncertainty
Woodson has been out for roughly 16 months since his last fight, a longer layoff than usual that leaves his current sharpness harder to read heading in.