← UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Luis Hernandez vs Sedriques Dumas
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09-26
Luis HernandezLow Data
63.3%
Model
68.2%
Market
1.42
Odds
-4.9
Edge (pp)
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
Style Matchup
established · 8 UFC fightsestablished · 8 fights
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P3
Volume
P2
Striking Efficiency
P9
Range Sniper
P7
Kickboxing
P28
Clinch Striking
P39
Defensive Striking
P37
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P38
Pressure Wrestling
P58
Top Control
P72
Submission
P16
Anti-Wrestling
P64
Grappling Defense
P13
Scrambler
P95
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P8
Finisher
P23
Damage Resistance
P12
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P43
Pace
P23
Late Fighter
P64
GLOBAL
Versatility
P9
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
HernandezDumas
—Landed / min1.95
—Absorbed / min2.66
—Accuracy45%
—Defense53%
—KD / 150.00
—KD abs / 150.66
Grappling / Wrestling
HernandezDumas
—TD / 151.11
—TD att / 153.98
—TD accuracy28%
—TD defense33%
—Control / 155:12
—Sub att / 150.00
Targets
HernandezDumas
Head—|46%
Body—|20%
Leg—|34%
Position
HernandezDumas
Distance—|77%
Clinch—|5%
Ground—|18%
Ranking evolution Hernandez Dumas
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Luis Hernandez
Luis Hernandez arrives undefeated at 8-0, riding an eight-fight win streak built on finishing ability. His most consistent threat is on the mat, where his submission game can end exchanges, and he carries real stopping power to close fights before the scorecards. His recent run came against modest regional opposition.
Sedriques Dumas
Sedriques Dumas brings UFC seasoning at 11-5 overall, though he sits at 3-5 in the organization with one win in his last five. He owns a roughly 8 cm reach advantage that lets him operate from the longer frame. His last bouts came against modest regional opposition, and he's coming off 5.1 months out.
Matchup Read
Range standing favors Dumas, who can use the extra reach and the orthodox-southpaw angles to work from distance; the ground brings Hernandez's finishing threat, where his submission game becomes the central danger. The deciding question is whether Hernandez can close that distance and drag it to the mat, or whether Dumas keeps it long over three rounds. Note that Dumas carries recent exposure to a stoppage, while Hernandez does not.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Dumas uses his reach to keep Hernandez at the end of his punches or gets drawn into close exchanges.
- Grappling: once it hits the mat, how quickly Hernandez threatens submissions and whether Dumas can scramble free.
- Closing the gap: whether Hernandez's level changes land cleanly across the southpaw-orthodox angles.
Key Uncertainty
Hernandez is making his UFC debut with no prior octagon history, so how his unbeaten regional run translates against this level of competition is the main limit on reading him.