← UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Sedriques Dumas vs Jackson McVey
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04-25
55.4%
Model
36.1%
Market
2.67
Odds
+19.2
Edge (pp)
limited sample · 7 UFC fightslimited · 7 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
STRIKING
P4
Striking Initiative
P76
P3
Volume
P67
P8
Striking Efficiency
P91
P7
Range Sniper
P60
P26
Kickboxing
P50
P28
Clinch Striking
P94
P47
Defensive Striking
P17
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P39
Wrestling
P20
P56
Pressure Wrestling
P16
P75
Top Control
P46
P17
Submission
P39
P67
Anti-Wrestling
P34
P17
Grappling Defense
P4
P94
Scrambler
P66
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P12
Power
P16
P23
Finisher
P72
P18
Damage Resistance
P45
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P57
Fast Starter
P39
P28
Pace
P60
P73
Late Fighter
—
GLOBAL
P12
Versatility
P25
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
DumasMcVey
1.97Landed / min5.87
2.43Absorbed / min3.82
44%Accuracy68%
55%Defense24%
0.00KD / 150.00
0.46KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
DumasMcVey
1.14TD / 150.00
4.12TD att / 151.47
28%TD accuracy0%
33%TD defense0%
5:22Control / 153:42
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
DumasMcVey
Head47%|52%
Body19%|47%
Leg34%|2%
Position
DumasMcVey
Distance78%|22%
Clinch4%|78%
Ground19%|0%
Ranking evolution Dumas McVey
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Sedriques Dumas
Sedriques Dumas is hard to drag down, defending takedowns well and keeping exchanges standing where he wants them. He carries a slight edge in managing range and stand-up defense, holds up under fire, and works behind a five-centimeter reach advantage. His all-org mark sits at 11-4, 3-4 in the UFC.
Jackson McVey
Jackson McVey brings the higher output and forward pressure on the feet, and his most meaningful threat is his ground finishing, part of a broader ability to end fights before the judges. He's 6-2 across all organizations and 0-2 through two UFC appearances, working from a southpaw stance.
Matchup Read
McVey carries the early finishing danger, both his pressure striking and his submission threat once it hits the mat, while Dumas grows in value the longer things stay standing. If Dumas defends the takedowns and keeps this at range, his distance work and reach shape the exchanges and steer the fight toward the scorecards. Should McVey close the gap or find top position, his ground finishing becomes the central danger. The crossed stances shift the striking angles both ways.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether McVey can close distance and change levels, or Dumas keeps stuffing entries and forcing it back to the feet.
- Early striking: does McVey's volume and pressure crowd Dumas, or does Dumas' reach and range control keep him at the end of his punches.
- On the mat: any moment McVey reaches top position or a scramble, watch how quickly his submission threat turns live.
Key Uncertainty
With only two UFC fights on McVey's record, there's a limited sample to gauge how his pressure and ground finishing translate against Dumas' takedown defense at this level.