Sterling owns the tested track record, but Zalal holds the sharper matchup-specific tools. The striking is where Sterling's pressure and volume press the issue, so Zalal's rising output and finishing threat matter most in those exchanges. On the mat, Zalal's own takedowns plus his ability to climb back to his feet complicate any grinding game. With an 8 cm height edge, Zalal can work longer when he keeps range and dictates where the fight happens.

Garcia's push to get the fight down and hunt finishes runs straight into Hernandez's rising ground control, and that collision likely decides things. If Garcia lands his takedowns, the question is whether Hernandez's improving top game keeps him from being pinned underneath and worked for a submission. Standing, Hernandez's longer frame gives him room to keep it at range, where Garcia's growing volume has to close the gap.

Grant's tested experience against higher-level opposition is the known quantity early, while Luna Martinetti's unbeaten streak was assembled on the regional scene, leaving his ceiling against this class of fight unproven. The newcomer's five-centimeter reach advantage gives him room to manage distance on the feet, but Grant has shared the cage with sharper names. The question is whether Luna Martinetti's record translates against a step up in competition.

Early, Jackson's length and distance management meet Barcelos's push to close the gap and work volume behind pressure. If Barcelos stays standing, his takedown defense keeps the fight in a phase where his output can score, though he's giving up 20cm of reach to get there. Jackson's top control matters only if he lands the entry against that defense; his durability lets him weather pressure while fighting long.

Spann brings the more tested track record and the late-fight tools, while Buchecha owns the sharper matchup-specific wrinkle in his get-up game. If Spann hunts the submissions that fueled his recent run, he meets a man built to escape bottom control and stand back up, so his finishes may need to come from top pressure or on the feet. Over a longer fight, Spann's pace and conditioning become the thread Buchecha has to withstand.

The early rounds carry Vieira's finishing danger, especially if he closes distance and drags McConico to the canvas, where his submission threat becomes the deciding factor. McConico's job is to use his length and southpaw angles to keep this at range and deny the entry. If he does, his steadier late pace and improving top work grow in value the longer it stays contested and upright.

McVey carries the early finishing danger, both his pressure striking and his submission threat once it hits the mat, while Dumas grows in value the longer things stay standing. If Dumas defends the takedowns and keeps this at range, his distance work and reach shape the exchanges and steer the fight toward the scorecards. Should McVey close the gap or find top position, his ground finishing becomes the central danger. The crossed stances shift the striking angles both ways.

The fight splits along a clear line: on the mat, Filho's submission threat and improving top control make the ground his territory, while a longer standing battle feeds Durden's output and his ability to push the pace late. Filho's recent durability helps him weather Durden's volume long enough to look for entries. If Durden keeps it standing and drags the fight into deep water, his cardio becomes the deciding factor. The orthodox-southpaw mix reshapes the angles both men work from.

Brennan carries the more established threat of ending things before the scorecards, while Marshall's rising finishing form makes him more dangerous the longer he stays live. The orthodox-southpaw pairing reshapes the striking angles for both men. Neither profile points to a settled phase, so the read hinges on whether Brennan can force his early finishing window or Marshall can extend the fight into territory where his recent momentum has been building.

Griffin's reach and range work run into Valenzuela's push to close and end the fight before the scorecards. If Griffin keeps exchanges at the end of his jab and manages distance, he denies the debutant the short-range chances his finishing thrives on. Valenzuela's route is to crowd that space and turn the fight into the kind of exchange where his stopping power matters. Griffin's stiffer competition history is his edge in the deeper, closer moments.