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Francis Marshall

Francis Marshall#70 LW

GRAPPLING CONTROLLER
limited sample · 7 UFC fights
10-3
Record
1 KO · 5 SUB · 4 DEC
Wins by method
LossWinLossWinWin
Recent form
27
Age
175 cm
Height
183 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-04-25
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P20
Volume
P48
Striking Efficiency
P4
Range Sniper
P17
Kickboxing
P31
Clinch Striking
P27
Defensive Striking
P42
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P69
Pressure Wrestling
P58
Top Control
P84
Submission
P66
Anti-Wrestling
P44
Grappling Defense
P76
Scrambler
P24
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P39
Finisher
P45
Damage Resistance
P67
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P80
Pace
P81
Late Fighter
P81
GLOBAL
Versatility
P23
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).

Archetype history

  1. GRAPPLING CONTROLLER2026-04-25 → CURRENT · 1 fight
  2. HIGH-PACE GRINDER2023-04-22 → 2026-02-28 · 5 fights
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-04-25
Striking
2.34
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
3.14
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
29%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
54%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.41
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.00
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
2.04
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
4.90
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
42%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
89%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
4:47
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.61
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head82%
Body7%
Leg11%
Position
Distance89%
Clinch5%
Ground6%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R2152R3196increasing
TakedownsR1100R251R3143increasing
ControlR1100R259R351declining

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
71%
Model correct (5/7)
3/4
Fighter wins when model favored
1/3
Fighter wins when model underdog
2/2
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2026-04-25
vs Lucas Brennan Win · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
47.3%
Model · pick ✗
→
2026-02-28
vs Erik Silva Win · SUB
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
70.4%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-03-08
vs Mairon Santos Loss · DEC
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
24.7%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-08-24
vs Dennis Buzukja Win · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho
60.4%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-08-12
vs Isaac Dulgarian Loss · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos
67.6%
Model · pick ✗
→
2023-04-22
vs William Gomis Loss · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
47.3%
Model · pick ✓
→
2022-12-03
vs Marcelo Rojo Win · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
82.1%
Model · pick ✓
→