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Connor Matthews

Connor Matthews

provisional · 3 UFC fights
8-4
Record
2 KO · 5 SUB · 1 DEC
Wins by method
WinWinLossLossLoss
Recent form
32
Age
173 cm
Height
180 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2025-05-17
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P34
Volume
P68
Striking Efficiency
P49
Range Sniper
P66
Kickboxing
P75
Clinch Striking
P20
Defensive Striking
P51
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P71
Pressure Wrestling
P49
Top Control
P31
Submission
P40
Anti-Wrestling
P37
Grappling Defense
P21
Scrambler
P28
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P7
Finisher
P65
Damage Resistance
P21
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P1
Pace
P35
Late Fighter
P42
GLOBAL
Versatility
P39
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2025-05-17
Striking
4.25
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
6.96
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
40%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
55%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.00
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
1.85
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
2.77
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
5.54
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
50%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
0%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
1:20
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.00
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head62%
Body20%
Leg17%
Position
Distance96%
Clinch1%
Ground3%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R2251R313declining
TakedownsR1100R2300R30declining
ControlR1100R2255R30declining

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
100%
Model correct (3/3)
—
Fighter wins when model favored
0/3
Fighter wins when model underdog
—
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2025-05-17
27.7%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-02-15
32.1%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-03-30
47.9%
Model · pick ✓
→