← UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Adrian Luna Martinetti vs Davey Grant
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04-25
Adrian Luna MartinettiLow Data
vs Davey Grant
55.7%
Model
57.5%
Market
1.68
Odds
-1.8
Edge (pp)
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
Style Matchup
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P89
Volume
P94
Striking Efficiency
P58
Range Sniper
P61
Kickboxing
P88
Clinch Striking
P6
Defensive Striking
P64
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P41
Pressure Wrestling
P43
Top Control
P38
Submission
P71
Anti-Wrestling
P71
Grappling Defense
P45
Scrambler
P45
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P24
Finisher
P70
Damage Resistance
P65
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P33
Pace
P70
Late Fighter
P69
GLOBAL
Versatility
P67
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
MartinettiGrant
—Landed / min5.14
—Absorbed / min3.82
—Accuracy44%
—Defense56%
—KD / 150.34
—KD abs / 150.34
Grappling / Wrestling
MartinettiGrant
—TD / 151.03
—TD att / 152.57
—TD accuracy40%
—TD defense63%
—Control / 151:57
—Sub att / 150.17
Targets
MartinettiGrant
Head—|41%
Body—|34%
Leg—|25%
Position
MartinettiGrant
Distance—|89%
Clinch—|5%
Ground—|5%
Ranking evolution Martinetti Grant
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Adrian Luna Martinetti
Adrian Luna Martinetti arrives on a 15-fight win streak and a 17-1 record, though that run came against modest regional opposition. He carries the longer frame into this one and hasn't been stopped in his recent fights, giving him a measure of physical length and durability to work with.
Davey Grant
Davey Grant brings the deeper résumé, with an 8-7 UFC record and wins in 3 of his last 5 there, built against notably stronger competition than his opponent has faced. He last fought 6.2 months ago, a routine gap, and gives up ten years in age here.
Matchup Read
Grant's tested experience against higher-level opposition is the known quantity early, while Luna Martinetti's unbeaten streak was assembled on the regional scene, leaving his ceiling against this class of fight unproven. The newcomer's five-centimeter reach advantage gives him room to manage distance on the feet, but Grant has shared the cage with sharper names. The question is whether Luna Martinetti's record translates against a step up in competition.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Luna Martinetti uses his reach to keep Grant at the end of his punches or lets the veteran close the gap.
- Composure: how the debutant responds once Grant tests him in exchanges he hasn't seen on the regional circuit.
- Late rounds: whether the ten-year age gap shows in output as the fight stretches on.
Key Uncertainty
With Luna Martinetti making his UFC debut and no prior history at this level, his long regional streak offers little to confirm how his tools hold up against a step up in competition.