← UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Rodolfo Vieira vs Eric McConico
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04-25
72.9%
Model
68.8%
Market
1.40
Odds
+4.2
Edge (pp)
established · 10 UFC fightsestablished · 10 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
STRIKING
P16
Striking Initiative
P19
P19
Volume
P27
P83
Striking Efficiency
P29
P53
Range Sniper
P14
P86
Kickboxing
P59
P18
Clinch Striking
P89
P13
Defensive Striking
P23
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P79
Wrestling
P15
P79
Pressure Wrestling
P11
P83
Top Control
P36
P96
Submission
P30
P50
Anti-Wrestling
P5
P65
Grappling Defense
P26
P27
Scrambler
P30
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P0
Power
P9
P93
Finisher
P32
P54
Damage Resistance
P13
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P76
Fast Starter
P2
P62
Pace
P5
P77
Late Fighter
P73
GLOBAL
P88
Versatility
P9
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
VieiraMcConico
3.55Landed / min2.61
4.38Absorbed / min3.23
54%Accuracy44%
49%Defense47%
0.00KD / 150.00
0.30KD abs / 151.40
Grappling / Wrestling
VieiraMcConico
2.70TD / 150.00
12.62TD att / 150.00
21%TD accuracy—
75%TD defense64%
4:20Control / 152:33
0.90Sub att / 150.00
Targets
VieiraMcConico
Head67%|56%
Body13%|21%
Leg20%|23%
Position
VieiraMcConico
Distance89%|68%
Clinch5%|32%
Ground7%|0%
Ranking evolution Vieira McConico
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Rodolfo Vieira
Rodolfo Vieira's most dangerous work comes on the mat, where his submission threat is the central danger in any grappling exchange. He carries real finishing ability overall and hasn't been showing cracks in his durability lately. UFC record of 6-4, with 3 wins in his last 5 appearances across 11-4 overall.
Eric McConico
Eric McConico brings a sizeable physical build, with a 10 cm reach advantage and a southpaw stance to work behind. His top control has been trending upward recently, and his pace holds up better deeper into the fight. Sits at 1-2 in the UFC, 10-4 across all organizations.
Matchup Read
The early rounds carry Vieira's finishing danger, especially if he closes distance and drags McConico to the canvas, where his submission threat becomes the deciding factor. McConico's job is to use his length and southpaw angles to keep this at range and deny the entry. If he does, his steadier late pace and improving top work grow in value the longer it stays contested and upright.
What to Watch
- Grappling entries: whether Vieira can cross the reach gap and get McConico to the mat, where his submission threat lives.
- Range work: how well McConico uses his length and southpaw stance to keep the fight standing and at distance.
- Late rounds: if it stays competitive past the opening exchanges, watch whether McConico's pace holds up better.